IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1905.08535.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Smoothing quantile regressions

Author

Listed:
  • Marcelo Fernandes
  • Emmanuel Guerre
  • Eduardo Horta

Abstract

We propose to smooth the entire objective function, rather than only the check function, in a linear quantile regression context. Not only does the resulting smoothed quantile regression estimator yield a lower mean squared error and a more accurate Bahadur-Kiefer representation than the standard estimator, but it is also asymptotically differentiable. We exploit the latter to propose a quantile density estimator that does not suffer from the curse of dimensionality. This means estimating the conditional density function without worrying about the dimension of the covariate vector. It also allows for two-stage efficient quantile regression estimation. Our asymptotic theory holds uniformly with respect to the bandwidth and quantile level. Finally, we propose a rule of thumb for choosing the smoothing bandwidth that should approximate well the optimal bandwidth. Simulations confirm that our smoothed quantile regression estimator indeed performs very well in finite samples.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcelo Fernandes & Emmanuel Guerre & Eduardo Horta, 2019. "Smoothing quantile regressions," Papers 1905.08535, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1905.08535
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1905.08535
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Galvao, Antonio F. & Kato, Kengo, 2016. "Smoothed quantile regression for panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 92-112.
    2. Guerre, Emmanuel & Sabbah, Camille, 2012. "Uniform Bias Study And Bahadur Representation For Local Polynomial Estimators Of The Conditional Quantile Function," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(1), pages 87-129, February.
    3. Fan, Yanqin & Liu, Ruixuan, 2016. "A direct approach to inference in nonparametric and semiparametric quantile models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 196-216.
    4. Joel L. Horowitz, 1998. "Bootstrap Methods for Median Regression Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(6), pages 1327-1352, November.
    5. Kaplan, David M. & Sun, Yixiao, 2017. "Smoothed Estimating Equations For Instrumental Variables Quantile Regression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(1), pages 105-157, February.
    6. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    7. Chernozhukov, Victor & Hong, Han, 2003. "An MCMC approach to classical estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 293-346, August.
    8. Moshe Buchinsky, 1998. "Recent Advances in Quantile Regression Models: A Practical Guideline for Empirical Research," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 33(1), pages 88-126.
    9. Victor Chernozhukov & Christian Hansen, 2005. "An IV Model of Quantile Treatment Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(1), pages 245-261, January.
    10. Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2006. "Smoothed Empirical Likelihood Methods For Quantile Regression Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(2), pages 173-205, April.
    11. Buchinsky, Moshe, 1995. "Estimating the asymptotic covariance matrix for quantile regression models a Monte Carlo study," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(2), pages 303-338, August.
    12. Roger Koenker & Kevin F. Hallock, 2001. "Quantile Regression," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 143-156, Fall.
    13. José A. F. Machado & Paulo Parente, 2005. "Bootstrap estimation of covariance matrices via the percentile method," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 8(1), pages 70-78, March.
    14. Koenker,Roger, 2005. "Quantile Regression," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521845731.
    15. Mehra, K. L. & Sudhakara Rao, M. & Upadrasta, S. P., 1991. "A smooth conditional quantile estimator and related applications of conditional empirical processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 151-179, May.
    16. Kong, Efang & Linton, Oliver & Xia, Yingcun, 2013. "Global Bahadur Representation For Nonparametric Censored Regression Quantiles And Its Applications," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(5), pages 941-968, October.
    17. Chernozhukov, Victor & Hansen, Christian, 2008. "Instrumental variable quantile regression: A robust inference approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 379-398, January.
    18. Mammen, Enno & Van Keilegom, Ingrid & Yu, Kyusang, 2013. "Expansion for Moments of Regression Quantiles with Applications to Nonparametric Testing," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2013027, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    19. Otsu, Taisuke, 2008. "Conditional empirical likelihood estimation and inference for quantile regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 508-538, January.
    20. K. Cheung & Stephen Lee, 2010. "Bootstrap variance estimation for Nadaraya quantile estimator," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 19(1), pages 131-145, May.
    21. Chernozhukov, Victor & Hansen, Christian, 2006. "Instrumental quantile regression inference for structural and treatment effect models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 491-525, June.
    22. Goh, S.C. & Knight, K., 2009. "Nonstandard Quantile-Regression Inference," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(5), pages 1415-1432, October.
    23. Samanta, M., 1989. "Non-parametric estimation of conditional quantiles," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 7(5), pages 407-412, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. David M. Kaplan, 2022. "Smoothed instrumental variables quantile regression," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 22(2), pages 379-403, June.
    2. de Castro, Luciano & Galvao, Antonio F. & Kaplan, David M. & Liu, Xin, 2019. "Smoothed GMM for quantile models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 121-144.
    3. Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2020. "Forecasting value at risk with intra-day return curves," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1023-1038.
    4. James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022. "Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Working Papers 22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
    5. Bartosz Uniejewski, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting with Smoothing Quantile Regression Averaging: Quantifying economic benefits of probabilistic forecasts," Papers 2302.00411, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    6. Jean-Jacques Forneron, 2023. "Noisy, Non-Smooth, Non-Convex Estimation of Moment Condition Models," Papers 2301.07196, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    7. Grigory Franguridi & Bulat Gafarov & Kaspar Wüthrich, 2021. "Conditional Quantile Estimators: A Small Sample Theory," CESifo Working Paper Series 9046, CESifo.
    8. Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli & Luca Sala, 2023. "The impact of financial shocks on the forecast distribution of output and inflation," Working Paper 2023/3, Norges Bank.
    9. Chen, Le-Yu & Lee, Sokbae, 2023. "Sparse quantile regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 2195-2217.
    10. Kean Ming Tan & Lan Wang & Wen‐Xin Zhou, 2022. "High‐dimensional quantile regression: Convolution smoothing and concave regularization," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(1), pages 205-233, February.
    11. de Castro, Luciano & Galvao, Antonio F. & Kaplan, David M. & Liu, Xin, 2019. "Smoothed GMM for quantile models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 121-144.
    12. He, Xuming & Pan, Xiaoou & Tan, Kean Ming & Zhou, Wen-Xin, 2023. "Smoothed quantile regression with large-scale inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 367-388.
    13. Tae-Hwy Lee & Aman Ullah & He Wang, 2023. "The Second-order Bias and Mean Squared Error of Quantile Regression Estimators," Working Papers 202313, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    14. Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao & Bin Peng & Yundong Tu, 2023. "Smoothing the Nonsmoothness," Papers 2309.16348, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. de Castro, Luciano & Galvao, Antonio F. & Kaplan, David M. & Liu, Xin, 2019. "Smoothed GMM for quantile models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 121-144.
    2. de Castro, Luciano & Galvao, Antonio F. & Kaplan, David M. & Liu, Xin, 2019. "Smoothed GMM for quantile models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 121-144.
    3. Kaplan, David M. & Sun, Yixiao, 2017. "Smoothed Estimating Equations For Instrumental Variables Quantile Regression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(1), pages 105-157, February.
    4. Machado, José A.F. & Santos Silva, J.M.C., 2019. "Quantiles via moments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 145-173.
    5. He, Xuming & Pan, Xiaoou & Tan, Kean Ming & Zhou, Wen-Xin, 2023. "Smoothed quantile regression with large-scale inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 367-388.
    6. Fan, Yanqin & Liu, Ruixuan, 2016. "A direct approach to inference in nonparametric and semiparametric quantile models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 196-216.
    7. Parente, Paulo M.D.C. & Smith, Richard J., 2011. "Gel Methods For Nonsmooth Moment Indicators," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(1), pages 74-113, February.
    8. Victor Chernozhukov & Christian Hansen & Kaspar Wuthrich, 2020. "Instrumental Variable Quantile Regression," Papers 2009.00436, arXiv.org.
    9. Philip Kostov, 2013. "Empirical likelihood estimation of the spatial quantile regression," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 51-69, January.
    10. Otsu, Taisuke, 2008. "Conditional empirical likelihood estimation and inference for quantile regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 508-538, January.
    11. Tae-Hwy Lee & Aman Ullah & He Wang, 2023. "The Second-order Bias and Mean Squared Error of Quantile Regression Estimators," Working Papers 202313, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    12. Muller, Christophe, 2018. "Heterogeneity and nonconstant effect in two-stage quantile regression," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 3-12.
    13. Firpo, Sergio & Galvao, Antonio F. & Pinto, Cristine & Poirier, Alexandre & Sanroman, Graciela, 2022. "GMM quantile regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 432-452.
    14. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Printzis, Panagiotis, 2021. "Investment and uncertainty: Are large firms different from small ones?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 302-317.
    15. Chernozhukov, Victor & Hansen, Christian & Jansson, Michael, 2009. "Finite sample inference for quantile regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 93-103, October.
    16. Escanciano, J.C. & Goh, S.C., 2014. "Specification analysis of linear quantile models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 495-507.
    17. Gilles Dufrenot & Valerie Mignon & Charalambos Tsangarides, 2010. "The trade-growth nexus in the developing countries: a quantile regression approach," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 146(4), pages 731-761, December.
    18. de Castro, Luciano & Galvao, Antonio F. & Montes-Rojas, Gabriel, 2020. "Quantile selection in non-linear GMM quantile models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    19. José Manuel Pastor & Jose M. Pavía & Lorenzo Serrano & Emili Tortosa-Ausina, 2017. "Rich regions, poor regions and bank branch deregulation in Spain," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(11), pages 1678-1694, November.
    20. Lamarche, Carlos, 2011. "Measuring the incentives to learn in Colombia using new quantile regression approaches," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 278-288, November.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1905.08535. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.