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On Reduced Form Intensity-based Model with Trigger Events

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  • Jia-Wen Gu
  • Wai-Ki Ching
  • Tak-Kuen Siu
  • Harry Zheng

Abstract

Corporate defaults may be triggered by some major market news or events such as financial crises or collapses of major banks or financial institutions. With a view to develop a more realistic model for credit risk analysis, we introduce a new type of reduced-form intensity-based model that can incorporate the impacts of both observable "trigger" events and economic environment on corporate defaults. The key idea of the model is to augment a Cox process with trigger events. Both single-default and multiple-default cases are considered in this paper. In the former case, a simple expression for the distribution of the default time is obtained. Applications of the proposed model to price defaultable bonds and multi-name Credit Default Swaps (CDSs) are provided.

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  • Jia-Wen Gu & Wai-Ki Ching & Tak-Kuen Siu & Harry Zheng, 2013. "On Reduced Form Intensity-based Model with Trigger Events," Papers 1301.0109, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1301.0109
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Duffie, Darrell & Saita, Leandro & Wang, Ke, 2007. "Multi-period corporate default prediction with stochastic covariates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 635-665, March.
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    3. Robert A. Jarrow & Stuart M. Turnbull, 2008. "Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 17, pages 377-409, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    9. Robert A. Jarrow & Fan Yu, 2008. "Counterparty Risk and the Pricing of Defaultable Securities," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 20, pages 481-515, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    Cited by:

    1. Jonathan Crook & David Edelman, 2014. "Special issue credit risk modelling," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 65(3), pages 321-322, March.
    2. Gechun Liang & Xingchun Wang, 2021. "Pricing vulnerable options in a hybrid credit risk model driven by Heston–Nandi GARCH processes," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 1-30, April.

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