Heterogeneous credit portfolios and the dynamics of the aggregate losses
AbstractWe study the impact of contagion in a network of firms facing credit risk. We describe an intensity based model where the homogeneity assumption is broken by introducing a random environment that makes it possible to take into account the idiosyncratic characteristics of the firms. We shall see that our model goes behind the identification of groups of firms that can be considered basically exchangeable. Despite this heterogeneity assumption our model has the advantage of being totally tractable. The aim is to quantify the losses that a bank may suffer in a large credit portfolio. Relying on a large deviation principle on the trajectory space of the process, we state a suitable law of large number and a central limit theorem useful to study large portfolio losses. Simulation results are provided as well as applications to portfolio loss distribution analysis.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by arXiv.org in its series Papers with number 0806.3399.
Date of creation: Jun 2008
Date of revision:
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://arxiv.org/
Other versions of this item:
- Dai Pra, Paolo & Tolotti, Marco, 2009. "Heterogeneous credit portfolios and the dynamics of the aggregate losses," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(9), pages 2913-2944, September.
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Paolo Dai Pra & Wolfgang J. Runggaldier & Elena Sartori & Marco Tolotti, 2007. "Large portfolio losses: A dynamic contagion model," Papers 0704.1348, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2009.
- Crouhy, Michel & Galai, Dan & Mark, Robert, 2000. "A comparative analysis of current credit risk models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(1-2), pages 59-117, January.
- Stefan Weber & Kay Giesecke, 2003. "Credit Contagion and Aggregate Losses," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 246, Society for Computational Economics.
- Amir Dembo & Jean-Dominique Deuschel & Darrell Duffie, 2004.
"Large portfolio losses,"
Finance and Stochastics,
Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 3-16, January.
- Kay Giesecke & Konstantinos Spiliopoulos & Richard B. Sowers & Justin A. Sirignano, 2011. "Large Portfolio Asymptotics for Loss From Default," Papers 1109.1272, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2013.
- Kay Giesecke & Konstantinos Spiliopoulos & Richard B. Sowers, 2011. "Default clustering in large portfolios: Typical events," Papers 1104.1773, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2013.
- Cinzia Colapinto & Elena Sartori & Marco Tolotti, 2012. "A two-stage model for diffusion of innovations," Working Papers 16, Department of Management, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia.
- Konstantinos Spiliopoulos & Justin A. Sirignano & Kay Giesecke, 2013. "Fluctuation Analysis for the Loss From Default," Papers 1304.1420, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2013.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (arXiv administrators).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.