Selecting the Order of an ARCH Model
Abstract
Since the parameters of an autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) process must be non-negative, inference on ARCH parameters can be improved by using inequality constrained estimation. In this paper, we extend this principle to the problem of ARCH lag order selection. We show that in the case of AIC, the appropriate adjustment to the penalty function has a simple form.Download Info
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Paper provided by University of Adelaide, School of Economics in its series School of Economics Working Papers with number 1999-01.Length: 8 pages
Date of creation: 1999
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Economics Letters, 2004, vol. 83, issue 2, pp. 269-275
Handle: RePEc:adl:wpaper:1999-01
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Postal: Adelaide SA 5005
Phone: (618) 8303 5540
Web page: http://www.economics.adelaide.edu.au/
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Related research
Keywords: inequality constrained maximum likelihood; one-sided AIC; model selection;Other versions of this item:
- Hughes, Anthony W. & King, Maxwell L. & Kwek, Kian Teng, 2004. "Selecting the order of an ARCH model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 269-275, May.
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
References
References listed on IDEASPlease report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
- Granger, Clive W. J. & King, Maxwell L. & White, Halbert, 1995. "Comments on testing economic theories and the use of model selection criteria," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 173-187, May.
- Demos, Antonis & Sentana, Enrique, 1998. "Testing for GARCH effects: a one-sided approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 97-127, June.
- Lee, John H H & King, Maxwell L, 1993. "A Locally Most Mean Powerful Based Score Test for ARCH and GARCH Regression Disturbances," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(1), pages 17-27, January.
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