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One-Sided Testing for ARCH Effect Using Wavelets

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Author Info
Jin Lee (National University of Singapore)
Abstract

There has been an increasing interest in hypothesis testing with inequality restrictions. An important example in time series econometrics is hypotheses on autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH). We propose a one-sided test for ARCH using the wavelet method, a new analytic tool developed in the last decade or so. The test is based on a wavelet spectral density estimator at frequency zero of the square of estimated residuals from a regression model. The square of an ARCH\ process is positively correlated at all lags, resulting in a spectral mode at frequency zero. In particular, it has a spectral peak at frequency zero when there exists persistent ARCH, or when ARCH effect is small at each lag but carries over a long distributional lag. Because wavelets can effectively capture spectral peaks, we expect that the wavelet test is more powerful than the kernel counterpart when there exists persistent ARCH or when ARCH effect has a long distributional lag. This is confirmed in a simulation study, which also compares a number of important one-sided and two-sided ARCH tests.

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Paper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers with number 1214.

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Date of creation: 01 Aug 2000
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:wc2000:1214

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  2. Maxwell King & Ping Wu, 1997. "Locally optimal one-sided tests for multiparameter hypotheses," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 131-156. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Jensen, Mark J., 2000. "An alternative maximum likelihood estimator of long-memory processes using compactly supported wavelets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 361-387, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Lee, John H. H., 1991. "A Lagrange multiplier test for GARCH models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 265-271, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. repec:att:wimass:199520 is not listed on IDEAS
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  7. Baillie, Richard T. & Bollerslev, Tim & Mikkelsen, Hans Ole, 1996. "Fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 3-30, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Lee, John H H & King, Maxwell L, 1994. "Correction [A Locally Most Mean Powerful Based Score Test for ARCH and GARCH Regression Disturbances]," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 12(1), pages 139, January.
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  16. Lee, Sang-Won & Hansen, Bruce E., 1994. "Asymptotic Theory for the Garch(1,1) Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(01), pages 29-52, March. [Downloadable!]
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  19. Newey, Whitney K & West, Kenneth D, 1994. "Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 61(4), pages 631-53, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  20. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  21. W. A. Broock & J. A. Scheinkman & W. D. Dechert & B. LeBaron, 1996. "A test for independence based on the correlation dimension," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 197-235. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  22. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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