Purchasing Power Parity and the Impact of the East Asian Currency Crisis
AbstractThis paper explores the impact of the East Asian crisis of 1997/98 on foreign exchange markets and purchasing power parity within the region. While many studies have attempted to test for PPP prior to these events, there has been little opportunity to test for this long run phenomenon in the post-crisis period. This study addresses the issue by applying Inoue (1999) and Johansen, Mosconi and Nielsen (2000) cointegration procedures to bilateral exchange rates deflated using consumer price indices. Along with endogenously determining a structural break at the time of the crisis, the empirical results shed light upon the significance of the East Asian crisis on long-run PPP within the region. The findings are generally supportive of PPP with the crisis leading to only shifts in long-run trends. However, the results are not homogenous across all countries which is partially attributed to how individual countries handled the crisis.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University of Adelaide, Centre for International Economic Studies in its series Centre for International Economic Studies Working Papers with number 2003-03.
Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2003
Date of revision:
Cointegration; Exchange Rates; Purchasing Power Parity;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
- F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
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