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Nonparametric Filtering of the Realised Spot Volatility: A Kernel-based Approach

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Author Info
Dennis Kristensen () (School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus, Denmark)

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Abstract

A kernel weighted version of the standard realised integrated volatility es- timator is proposed. By different choices of the kernel and bandwidth, the measure allows us to focus on specific characteristics of the volatility process. In particular, as the bandwidth vanishes, an estimator of the realised spot volatility is obtained. We denote this the filtered spot volatility. We show con- sistency and asymptotic normality of the kernel smoothed realised volatility and the filtered spot volatility. The choice of bandwidth is discussed and data- driven selection methods proposed. A simulation study examines the finite sample properties of the estimators.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus in its series CREATES Research Papers with number 2007-02.

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Length: 33
Date of creation: 11 May 2007
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Handle: RePEc:aah:create:2007-02

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Web page: http://www.econ.au.dk/afn/

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Related research
Keywords: Diffusion; in-fill asymptotics; kernel estimation; nonparametric; spot volatility; realised volatility;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Andersen T. G & Bollerslev T. & Diebold F. X & Labys P., 2001. "The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 42-55, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Merton, Robert C., 1980. "On estimating the expected return on the market : An exploratory investigation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 323-361, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim, 1997. "Intraday periodicity and volatility persistence in financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(2-3), pages 115-158, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Andersen, Torben G. & Lund, Jesper, 1997. "Estimating continuous-time stochastic volatility models of the short-term interest rate," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 343-377, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Bollerslev, Tim & Zhou, Hao, 2002. "Estimating stochastic volatility diffusion using conditional moments of integrated volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 33-65, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Federico M. Bandi & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2003. "Fully Nonparametric Estimation of Scalar Diffusion Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(1), pages 241-283, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Drost, Feike C. & Werker, Bas J. M., 1996. "Closing the GARCH gap: Continuous time GARCH modeling," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 31-57, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2003. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 579-625, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. D. Blanke, 2002. "Estimation of Local Smoothness Coefficients for Continuous Time Processes," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 65-93, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Foster, Dean P & Nelson, Daniel B, 1996. "Continuous Record Asymptotics for Rolling Sample Variance Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(1), pages 139-74, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. Bertsimas, Dimitris & Kogan, Leonid & Lo, Andrew W., 2000. "When is time continuous?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 173-204, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Dennis Kristensen, 2008. "Uniform Convergence Rates of Kernel Estimators with Heterogenous, Dependent Data," CREATES Research Papers 2008-37, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto RenĂ², 2008. "Volatility forecasting: the jumps do matter," Department of Economics University of Siena 534, Department of Economics, University of Siena. [Downloadable!]
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