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Asymmetric Monetary Policy in the Czech Republic?

In: Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007

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Roman Horvath

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Abstract

This paper analyses a hypothesis, whether an asymmetric monetary policy could contribute to the undershooting of the inflation targets of the Czech National Bank in the years 1998-2007. To this goal, a non-linear Taylor Rule has been estimated. The results indicate that – upon the introduction of inflation targeting – the Czech National Bank responded more aggressively to forecasts of inflation heading above the target. That asymmetric monetary policy, however, disappears if we perform estimates of the monetary policy rule exclusively on the basis of more contemporary data (approx. 2002-2007). Therefore, it could be deemed that symmetric handling of the inflation targets prevailed in the past several years.

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This chapter was published in: Katerina Smidkova (ed.) Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007, , chapter 9, pages 117-130, 2008.

This item is provided by Czech National Bank, Research Department in its series Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes with number 09.

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Related research
This chapter was published in the following book, which is listed on IDEAS:
Juraj Antal & Zuzana Antonicova & Jan Babecky & Michal Hlavacek & Tomas Holub & Roman Horvath & Jarek Hurnik & Ondra Kamenik & Karel Musil & Jiri Podpiera & Lubos Ruzicka & Michal Skorepa & Katerina S, 2008. "Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007," Occasional Publications - Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, Research Department, number 01 edited by Katerina Smidkova. [Downloadable!]
Keywords: Monetary policy rule; inflation target; Czech National Bank;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Determination of Interest Rates; Term Structure of Interest Rates
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Juan Dolado & Ramón María-Dolores Pedrero & Francisco J. Ruge-Murcia, 2004. "Nonlinear Monetary Policy Rules: Some New Evidence for the U.S," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 8(3). [Downloadable!]
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  2. Roman Horvath, 2007. "The Time-Varying Policy Neutral Rate in Real Time: A Predictor for Future Inflation?," Working Papers 2007/4, Czech National Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Alex Cukierman & Anton Muscatelli, 2008. "Nonlinear Taylor Rules and Asymmetric Preferences in Central Banking: Evidence from the United Kingdom and the United States," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 8(1). [Downloadable!]
  4. Frédérique Bec & Mélika Ben Salem & Fabrice Collard, 2002. "Asymmetries in Monetary Policy Reaction Function: Evidence for U.S. French and German Central Banks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 6(2). [Downloadable!]
  5. Joaquim J.S. Ramalho, 2005. "Small Sample Bias of Alternative Estimation Methods for Moment Condition Models: Monte Carlo Evidence for Covariance Structures," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 9(1). [Downloadable!]
  6. Clarida, Richard & Gali, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1998. "Monetary policy rules in practice Some international evidence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 1033-1067, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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