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Health Risks and Air Pollution — Error Analysis for a Cross‐Sectional Mortality Study

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  • J. H. Pickles

Abstract

An attempt is made to analyze in quantitative terms the uncertainties in multiple regression estimates of the effects of air pollution on death rates. A range of factors—statistical fluctuations in numbers of deaths, differences in local age distribution, differences in smoking habits, errors in estimated pollution levels, migration, and variability of the characterization of socioeconomic effects—are assessed as potential sources of error. Both the precision and the robustness of the regression calculation are shown to be poor. Examples and illustrative calculations are given based on a study of U. K. death rates around the 1971 Census.

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  • J. H. Pickles, 1986. "Health Risks and Air Pollution — Error Analysis for a Cross‐Sectional Mortality Study," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(2), pages 203-212, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:6:y:1986:i:2:p:203-212
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1986.tb00208.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mendelsohn, Robert & Orcutt, Guy, 1979. "An empirical analysis of air pollution dose-response curves," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 85-106, June.
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