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Import Security: Assessing the Risks of Imported Food

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  • Jonathan Welburn
  • Vicki Bier
  • Steven Hoerning

Abstract

We use data on food import violations from the FDA Operational and Administrative System for Import Support (OASIS) to address rising concerns associated with imported food, quantify import risks by product and by country of origin, and explore the usefulness of OASIS data for risk assessment. In particular, we assess whether there are significant trends in violations, whether import violations can be used to quantify risks by country and by product, and how import risks depend on economic factors of the country of origin. The results show that normalizing import violations by volume of imports provides a meaningful indicator of risk. We then use regression analysis to characterize import risks. Using this model, we analyze import risks by product type, violation type, and economic factors of the country of origin. We find that OASIS data are useful in quantifying food import risks, and that the rate of refusals provides a useful decision tool for risk management. Furthermore, we find that some economic factors are significant indicators of food import risk by country.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan Welburn & Vicki Bier & Steven Hoerning, 2016. "Import Security: Assessing the Risks of Imported Food," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(11), pages 2047-2064, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:36:y:2016:i:11:p:2047-2064
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.12560
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Buzby, Jean C. & Regmi, Anita, 2009. "FDA Refusals of Food Imports by Exporting Country Group," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-5.
    2. Kathy Baylis & Andrea Martens & Lia Nogueira, 2009. "What Drives Import Refusals?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1477-1483.
    3. Kathy Baylis & Lia Nogueira & Kathryn Pace, 2010. "Food Import Refusals: Evidence from the European Union," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 93(2), pages 566-572.
    4. Buzby, Jean C. & Unnevehr, Laurian J. & Roberts, Donna, 2008. "Food Safety and Imports: An Analysis of FDA Food-Related Import Refusal Reports," Economic Information Bulletin 58626, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zuhal Cilingir Uk & Cigdem Basfirinci & Amit Mitra, 2022. "Weighted Interpretive Structural Modeling for Supply Chain Risk Management: An Application to Logistics Service Providers in Turkey," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-22, August.
    2. Tsan‐Ming Choi & James H. Lambert, 2017. "Advances in Risk Analysis with Big Data," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(8), pages 1435-1442, August.
    3. Michael Greenberg & Karen Lowrie, 2019. "Vicki Bier: A More Sensible Way to View Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(4), pages 744-748, April.

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