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The Effects of Strategic and Economic Interdependence on International Conflict Across Levels of Analysis

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  • Zeev Maoz

Abstract

This study develops a Social Network Analytic approach to conceptualize and measure interdependence across levels of analysis. This framework contains several innovations. First, it integrates “sensitivity interdependence”—the effects of changes in one state on other states—with “vulnerability interdependence”—the opportunity costs of breaking a relationship. Second, it measures interdependence at different levels of analysis and across multiple relationships. Third, it integrates multiple dimensions of interdependence into a single measure. I derive hypotheses from the realist and liberal paradigms regarding the effects of strategic and economic interdependence on monadic, dyadic, and systemic conflict. These hypotheses are tested via data on alliances, military capability, and trade. The findings provide robust support to the expectations of the liberal paradigm regarding the effects of strategic and economic interdependence on conflict. On the other hand, the expectations of the realist paradigm are not supported. I discuss the theoretical and empirical implications of this approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Zeev Maoz, 2009. "The Effects of Strategic and Economic Interdependence on International Conflict Across Levels of Analysis," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 53(1), pages 223-240, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:amposc:v:53:y:2009:i:1:p:223-240
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2008.00367.x
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    9. Julia Grübler & Mahdi Ghodsi & Robert Stehrer, 2022. "Import demand elasticities revisited," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 46-74, January.
    10. Nizan Feldman & Ehud Eiran & Aviad Rubin, 2021. "Naval Power and Effects of Third-Party Trade on Conflict," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 65(2-3), pages 342-371, February.
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    14. Maxim Bratersky & Gunes Gokmen & Andrej Krickovic, 2016. "It’S Not the Economy Stupid! Is Russia-Us Trade Really Underdeveloped? A Test Using Gravity Models," HSE Working papers WP BRP 26/IR/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    15. Lee, Yusin, 2017. "Interdependence, issue importance, and the 2009 Russia-Ukraine gas conflict," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 199-209.
    16. Emilie M. Hafner-Burton & Alexander H. Montgomery, 2012. "War, Trade, and Distrust: Why Trade Agreements Don’t Always Keep the Peace," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 29(3), pages 257-278, July.
    17. Timothy M Peterson, 2011. "Third-party trade, political similarity, and dyadic conflict," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 48(2), pages 185-200, March.
    18. Yonatan Lupu & Vincent A. Traag, 2013. "Trading Communities, the Networked Structure of International Relations, and the Kantian Peace," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 57(6), pages 1011-1042, December.
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    20. Gerald Yong Gao & Danny Tan Wang & Yi Che, 2018. "Impact of historical conflict on FDI location and performance: Japanese investment in China," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 49(8), pages 1060-1080, October.
    21. Ofer Israeli, 2023. "US Invasion of Iraq, 2003: Indirect Link of ISIS Rising," Contemporary Review of the Middle East, , vol. 10(2), pages 188-201, June.
    22. Brandon J Kinne, 2014. "Does third-party trade reduce conflict? Credible signaling versus opportunity costs," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 31(1), pages 28-48, February.
    23. James Lee Ray & Patrick Bentley, 2010. "Power Concentration and Interstate Conflict: Is There a Connection?," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 22(4), pages 407-429, October.
    24. Philip S. Cho & Huy Hoang Nhat Do & Muthu Kumar Chandrasekaran & Min-Yen Kan, 2013. "Identifying research facilitators in an emerging Asian Research Area," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 97(1), pages 75-97, October.

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