An Empirical Examination of the Variance-Gamma Model for Foreign Currency Options
AbstractWe apply the variance-gamma (VG) option-pricing model to currency options. The model is a pure infinite-activity jump model. We examine whether and to what extent this new model can improve the pricing quality for currency options over the existing modified Black-Scholes model and the Merton jump-diffusion (JD) model. We find that the VG model yields better out-of-sample pricing performance than the modified Black-Scholes model or the JD model. In addition, a cross-entropy analysis shows that the VG model is more consistent with the general criterion of utility maximization and optimal portfolio selection.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Business.
Volume (Year): 78 (2005)
Issue (Month): 6 (November)
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Web page: http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/JB/
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- Oguzhan Cepni & Ahmet Goncu & Mehmet Oguz Karahan & Tolga Umut Kuzubas, 2013. "Goodness-of-fit of the Heston, Variance-Gamma and Normal-Inverse Gaussian Models," Working Papers 2013/16, Bogazici University, Department of Economics.
- Todorov, Viktor & Tauchen, George, 2010. "Activity signature functions for high-frequency data analysis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(2), pages 125-138, February.
- Olesia Verchenko, 2011. "Testing option pricing models: complete and incomplete markets," Discussion Papers 38, Kyiv School of Economics.
- Ammann, Manuel & Buesser, Ralf, 2013. "Variance Risk Premiums in Foreign Exchange Markets," Working Papers on Finance 1304, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
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