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Variance Gamma process as degradation model for prognosis and imperfect maintenance of centrifugal pumps

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  • Salem, Marwa Belhaj
  • Fouladirad, Mitra
  • Deloux, Estelle

Abstract

This paper considers the degradation modelling of a non-monotonous health indicator. A Variance Gamma process is proposed for the degradation modelling and its calibration in presence of data is discussed. The remaining useful lifetime estimation based on this model is considered and its sensitivity to parameters estimates is analysed. The model is applied to real data of leakage rate of centrifugal pump. Eventually, an imperfect maintenance policy is proposed and optimized.

Suggested Citation

  • Salem, Marwa Belhaj & Fouladirad, Mitra & Deloux, Estelle, 2022. "Variance Gamma process as degradation model for prognosis and imperfect maintenance of centrifugal pumps," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:223:y:2022:i:c:s0951832022000850
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2022.108417
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    5. Aizpurua, J.I. & Stewart, B.G. & McArthur, S.D.J. & Penalba, M. & Barrenetxea, M. & Muxika, E. & Ringwood, J.V., 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting informed failure prognostics framework for improved RUL prediction under uncertainty: A transformer case study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
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    7. Ait Mokhtar, El Hassene & Laggoune, Radouane & Chateauneuf, Alaa, 2023. "Imperfect maintenance modeling and assessment of repairable multi-component systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).

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