IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ttu/rebcee/20.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estonian Housing Market: Searching for Origins of the Boom

Author

Listed:
  • Ene Kolbre

    (Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology)

  • Angelika Kallakmaa-Kapsta

    (Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology)

  • Taavi Ojala

    (Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology)

Abstract

This paper studies the Estonian housing market, which, being the market with fastest growing prices in CEE, has undergone a rapid growth that has been oft en explained solely by an active convergence process to more advanced European countries. The study seeks to discuss the effects of changes in the economic environment on the Estonian housing market; outline the dynamics of the housing market development and assess this using ratio analysis and the Poterba model. Considering the specific features of the Estonian housing market, the paper further develops the Poterba model. The main question addressed in the study is whether the large price increases in the Estonian housing market can be interpreted as a housing boom. The research results confirm the presence of a price bubble in the housing market, which burst in 2007. The practical and methodological problems identified in the paper might be interesting for people studying similar issues on other emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Ene Kolbre & Angelika Kallakmaa-Kapsta & Taavi Ojala, 2009. "Estonian Housing Market: Searching for Origins of the Boom," Research in Economics and Business: Central and Eastern Europe, Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology, vol. 1(2).
    • Handle: RePEc:ttu:rebcee:20
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.rebcee.eu/index.php/REB/article/download/20/19
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.rebcee.eu/index.php/REB/article/view/20
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ene Kolbre & Angelika Kallakmaa-Kapsta, 2006. "Housing Market Development in Estonia: Is There a Real Estate Boom?," Working Papers 146, Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology.
    2. Bharat Barot & Zan Yang, 2004. "House Prices and Housing Investment in Sweden and the UK. Econometric analysis for the period 1970-1998," Macroeconomics 0409022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Angelika Kallakmaa-Kapsta & Ene Kolbre & Taavi Ojala, 2006. "Housing Market Development In Estonia: Is There Real Estate Boom Expected?," ERES eres2006_227, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    4. Ewa Kucharska-Stasiak & George Matysiak, 2004. "The transition of the Polish real estate market within a Central and Eastern European context," ERES eres2004_170, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    5. François Ortalo-Magné & Sven Rady, 2006. "Housing Market Dynamics: On the Contribution of Income Shocks and Credit Constraints ," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 73(2), pages 459-485.
    6. Tobin, James, 1969. "A General Equilibrium Approach to Monetary Theory," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 1(1), pages 15-29, February.
    7. Joshua Gallin, 2006. "The Long-Run Relationship between House Prices and Income: Evidence from Local Housing Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 34(3), pages 417-438, September.
    8. Mr. Paul Louis Ceriel Hilbers & Ms. Lisbeth S Zacho & Mr. Qin Lei, 2001. "Real Estate Market Developments and Financal Sector Soundness," IMF Working Papers 2001/129, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Malpezzi, Stephen, 1999. "A Simple Error Correction Model of House Prices," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 27-62, March.
    10. Kathleen Stephansen & Maxine Koster, 2005. "Housing valuations: no bubble apparent," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Real estate indicators and financial stability, volume 21, pages 112-23, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Karl E. Case & Robert J. Shiller, 2003. "Is There a Bubble in the Housing Market?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 34(2), pages 299-362.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alexander N. Bogin & William M. Doerner & William D. Larson, 2019. "Local House Price Paths: Accelerations, Declines, and Recoveries," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 201-222, February.
    2. Holly, Sean & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Yamagata, Takashi, 2010. "A spatio-temporal model of house prices in the USA," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 158(1), pages 160-173, September.
    3. Elias Oikarinen & Steven C. Bourassa & Martin Hoesli & Janne Engblom, 2017. "Revisiting the House Price-Income Relationship," LARES lares_2017_paper_26, Latin American Real Estate Society (LARES).
    4. Leung, Charles Ka Yui, 2014. "Error correction dynamics of house prices: An equilibrium benchmark," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 75-95.
    5. Anundsen, André Kallåk, 2013. "Economic Regime Shifts and the US Subprime Bubble," Memorandum 05/2013, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
    6. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Seyed Hesam Ghodsi, 2017. "Asymmetric Causality and Asymmetric Cointegration between Income and House Prices in the United States of America," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 20(2), pages 127-165.
    7. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Seyed Hesam Ghodsi, 2019. "On the Link between Value of the Dollar and Housing Production in the U.S.: Evidence from State Level Data," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(2), pages 231-274.
    8. Yang Hu & Les Oxley, 2018. "Bubbles in US regional house prices: evidence from house price–income ratios at the State level," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(29), pages 3196-3229, June.
    9. Anthony Yanxiang Gu, 2013. "A Possible Method for Warning of House Price Bubble," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, vol. 3(2), pages 104-113, February.
    10. Gary John Rangel & Jason Wei Jian Ng, 2017. "Macroeconomic Drivers of Singapore Private Residential Prices: A Markov-Switching Approach," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 15-31.
    11. Quan Gan & Robert J. Hill, 2008. "A New Perspective on the Relationship Between House Prices and Income," Discussion Papers 2008-13, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    12. Alexander N. Bogin & William M. Doerner & William D. Larson, 2016. "Local House Price Growth Accelerations," FHFA Staff Working Papers 16-02, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
    13. Oikarinen, Elias, 2009. "Household borrowing and metropolitan housing price dynamics - Empirical evidence from Helsinki," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 126-139, June.
    14. Yuming Li & Jing Yang, 2018. "House Price Dynamics and Excess Risk," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 21(2), pages 251-274.
    15. Jian Zhou, 2010. "Testing for Cointegration between House Prices and Economic Fundamentals," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 38(4), pages 599-632, Winter.
    16. Yiren Wang & Peter C B Phillips & Liangjun Su, 2023. "Panel Data Models with Time-Varying Latent Group Structures," Papers 2307.15863, arXiv.org.
    17. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Seyed Hesam Ghodsi, 2018. "Link between Housing and Stock Markets: Evidence from OECD Using Asymmetry Analysis," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 21(4), pages 447-471.
    18. Chen, Pei-Fen & Chien, Mei-Se & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2011. "Dynamic modeling of regional house price diffusion in Taiwan," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 315-332.
    19. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Joe Cho Yiu Ng, 2018. "Macro Aspects of Housing," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_016, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    20. Gabriele Galati & Federica Teppa & Rob Alessie, 2013. "Heterogeneity in house price dynamics," DNB Working Papers 371, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ttu:rebcee:20. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Anneli Kalm (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fettuee.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.