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Modelling spillovers between stock market and FX market: evidence for Nigeria

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  • Afees A. Salisu
  • Tirimisiyu F. Oloko

Abstract

The need to capture the foreign exchange (FX) and stock markets nexus in Nigeria is underscored by the rapidly expanding financial markets integration due to trade and financial liberalization policies which seem to have enhanced the inflow of capital as well as accelerated investment/business interactions. Using variants of the VARMA-AMGARCH model of McAleer, Hoti, and Chan (2009), we find that volatility persistence in the stock market is accentuated by bad news in the market and moderated by good news in the FX market. Finally, we establish that ignoring the asymmetric effects may exaggerate the spillover results.

Suggested Citation

  • Afees A. Salisu & Tirimisiyu F. Oloko, 2015. "Modelling spillovers between stock market and FX market: evidence for Nigeria," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1-2), pages 84-108, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:wjabxx:v:16:y:2015:i:1-2:p:84-108
    DOI: 10.1080/15228916.2015.1061285
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    1. Paul J.J. Welfens & Dora Borbély, 2004. "Exchange Rate Developments and Stock Market Dynamics in Transition Countries: Theory and Empirical Analysis," EIIW Discussion paper disbei126, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
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    4. Hooi-Hooi Lean & Marwan Halim, 2005. "Bivariate Causality between Exchange Rates and Stock Prices on Major Asian Countries," Monash Economics Working Papers 10/05, Monash University, Department of Economics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tian, Maoxi & El Khoury, Rim & Alshater, Muneer M., 2023. "The nonlinear and negative tail dependence and risk spillovers between foreign exchange and stock markets in emerging economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B., 2018. "Modelling stock price–exchange rate nexus in OECD countries: A new perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 105-123.
    3. Oloko, Tirimisiyu F., 2018. "Portfolio diversification between developed and developing stock markets: The case of US and UK investors in Nigeria," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 219-232.
    4. Wee-Yeap Lau & You-How Go, 2018. "Dynamic Causality Between Stock Return and Exchange Rate: Is Stock-Oriented Hypothesis More Relevant in Malaysia?," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 25(2), pages 137-157, June.
    5. Effiong, Ekpeno L., 2016. "Nonlinear Dependence between Stock Prices and Exchange Rate in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 74336, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Dahiru A. Balaa & Taro Takimotob, 2017. "Stock markets volatility spillovers during financial crises: A DCC-MGARCH with skewed-t density approach," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 17(1), pages 25-48, March.
    7. Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "The behavior of exchange rate and stock returns in high and low interest rate environments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 138-149.
    8. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei & Wu, An-Chi, 2020. "The foreign exchange and stock market nexus: New international evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 240-266.
    9. Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano & Aminu, Abubakar Wambai, 2018. "Economic regimes and stock market performance in Nigeria: Evidence from regime switching model," MPRA Paper 91430, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 03 Oct 2018.
    10. Afees Adebare Salisu & Raymond Swaray & Tirimisiyu Oloko, 2017. "US stocks in the presence of oil price risk: Large cap vs. Small cap," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 6(4), pages 116-124.
    11. Xingxing He & Korhan K. Gokmenoglu & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Syed Kumail Abbas Rizvi, 2023. "Co‐movement of foreign exchange rate returns and stock market returns in an emerging market: Evidence from the wavelet coherence approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1994-2005, April.
    12. Tule, Moses & Dogo, Mela & Uzonwanne, Godfrey, 2018. "Volatility of stock market returns and the naira exchange rate," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 97-105.
    13. Tshikalange, Mulanga & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2023. "The determinants of the dynamic correlation between foreign exchange and equity markets: Cross-Country comparisons," MPRA Paper 118401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Nenubari Ikue John & Emeka Nkoro & Jeremiah Anietie, 2021. "Time-Gap effects of crude oil prices on the foreign exchange rates: Evidence from Nigeria," Bussecon Review of Social Sciences (2687-2285), Bussecon International Academy, vol. 3(3), pages 31-44, July.
    15. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Lasisi, Lukman & Olaniran, Abeeb, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility in emerging markets: A GARCH – MIDAS approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    16. Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Lawal, Adedoyin, 2021. "Hedging oil price risk with gold during COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    17. Musa Ilias Biala & A.K. Oladejo, 2022. "On the Nexus between Exchange Rate and Stock Price in Nigeria," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 12(1), pages 80-99.
    18. Uzonwanne, Godfrey, 2021. "Volatility and return spillovers between stock markets and cryptocurrencies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 30-36.
    19. Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru & Afees A. Salisu, 2023. "Hedging against risks associated with travel and tourism stocks during COVID‐19 pandemic: The role of gold," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1872-1882, April.

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