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Price transmission and volatility spillovers in Asian rice markets: Evidence from MGARCH and panel GARCH models

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  • Jim Lee
  • Harold Glenn A. Valera

Abstract

This article examines world rice price transmission and volatility spillovers across six major Asian rice markets over the period 2005-13. In addition to the conventional GARCH models, we use a panel GARCH framework to estimate the spillover effects along with the consideration of heterogeneity and interdependence among countries. Empirical results suggest that changes in the world rice price affected not only the price levels of domestic rice markets but also their conditional variances. Moreover, interdependence across rice markets contributed to a strong spillover of a price shock in one country to another within the region.

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  • Jim Lee & Harold Glenn A. Valera, 2016. "Price transmission and volatility spillovers in Asian rice markets: Evidence from MGARCH and panel GARCH models," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 14-32, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:uitjxx:v:30:y:2016:i:1:p:14-32
    DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2015.1045638
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Minot, Nicholas, 2011. "Transmission of world food price changes to markets in Sub-Saharan Africa:," IFPRI discussion papers 1059, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Baltzer, Kenneth, 2013. "International to Domestic Price Transmission in Fourteen Developing Countries During the 2007-08 Food Crisis," WIDER Working Paper Series 031, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    3. Martinez, Elmer & Shively, Gerald E. & Masters, William J., 1998. "Testing The Link Between Public Intervention And Food Price Variability: Evidence From Rice Markets In The Philippines," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20883, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Kenneth Baltzer, 2013. "International to Domestic Price Transmission in Fourteen Developing Countries During the 2007-08 Food Crisis," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2013-031, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Katsushi Imai & Raghav Gaiha & Ganesh Thapa, 2008. "Transmission of World Commodity Prices to Domestic Commodity Prices in India and China," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series 4508, GDI, The University of Manchester.
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    Cited by:

    1. Harold Glenn A. Valera & Mark J. Holmes & Valerien O. Pede & Jean Balié, 2023. "How convergent are rice export prices in the international market?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(1), pages 127-141, January.
    2. Pinar Deniz & Thanasis Stengos & M. Ege Yazgan, 2021. "Revisiting the link between output growth and volatility: panel GARCH analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 743-771, August.
    3. Mamman, Suleiman O. & Wang, Zhanqin & Iliyasu, Jamilu, 2023. "Commonality in BRICS stock markets’ reaction to global economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from a panel GARCH model with cross sectional dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    4. Jin, Yan & Gardebroek, Cornelis & Heerink, Nico, 2021. "Price Responsiveness of Rice Farmers and the Probability of Effective Grain Support Policies in China," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315097, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    5. Harold Glenn A. Valera & Mark J. Holmes & Gazi M. Hassan, 2018. "Is inflation targeting credible in Asia? A panel GARCH approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 523-546, March.

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