IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/rpstxx/v69y2015isup1ps11-s20.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Integrating macro- and micro-level approaches in the explanation of population change

Author

Listed:
  • Francesco C. Billari

Abstract

Demographers study population change across time and place, and traditionally they place a strong emphasis on a long-range view of population change. This paper builds on current reflections on how to structure the study of population change and proposes a two-stage perspective. The first stage, discovery, focuses on the production of novel evidence at the population level. The second stage, explanation, develops accounts of demographic change and tests how the action and interaction of individuals generate what is discovered in the first stage. This explanatory stage also provides the foundation for the prediction of demographic change. The transformation of micro-level actions and interactions into macro-level population outcomes is identified as a key challenge for the second stage. Specific instances of research are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesco C. Billari, 2015. "Integrating macro- and micro-level approaches in the explanation of population change," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 69(sup1), pages 11-20, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rpstxx:v:69:y:2015:i:sup1:p:s11-s20
    DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2015.1009712
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00324728.2015.1009712
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/00324728.2015.1009712?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Courgeau, Daniel & Lelievre, Eva, 1993. "Event History Analysis in Demography," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198287384.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. John Cleland, 2017. "Sociology as a Population Science," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 71(1), pages 133-134, January.
    2. Grace, Kathryn & Hertrich, Véronique & Singare, Djeneba & Husak, Greg, 2018. "Examining rural Sahelian out-migration in the context of climate change: An analysis of the linkages between rainfall and out-migration in two Malian villages from 1981 to 2009," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 187-196.
    3. Maarten J. Bijlsma & Ben Wilson, 2017. "Modelling the socio-economic determinants of fertility: a mediation analysis using the parametric g-formula," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2017-013, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    4. Hudde, Ansgar, 2016. "Fertility Is Low When There Is No Societal Agreement on a Specific Gender Role Model," EconStor Preprints 142175, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Frans Willekens, 2018. "Towards causal forecasting of international migration," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 16(1), pages 199-218.
    6. Felix C. Tropf & Jornt J. Mandemakers, 2017. "Is the Association Between Education and Fertility Postponement Causal? The Role of Family Background Factors," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(1), pages 71-91, February.
    7. Daniel T. Lichter & Domenico Parisi & Shrinidhi Ambinakudige, 2020. "The Spatial Integration of Immigrants in Europe: A Cross-National Study," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 39(3), pages 465-491, June.
    8. Elizabeth Thomson & Maria Winkler-Dworak & Éva Beaujouan, 2019. "Contribution of the Rise in Cohabiting Parenthood to Family Instability: Cohort Change in Italy, Great Britain, and Scandinavia," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 56(6), pages 2063-2082, December.
    9. Marco Civico, 2019. "The Dynamics of Language Minorities: Evidence from an Agent-Based Model of Language Contact," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 22(4), pages 1-3.
    10. Tropf, Felix C & Mandemakers, Jornt J, 2017. "Is the Association Between Education and Fertility Postponement Causal? The Role of Family Background Factors," OSF Preprints dqrrx, Center for Open Science.
    11. Raffaele Guetto & Fabrizio Bernardi & Francesca Zanasi, 2022. "Parental education, divorce, and children’s educational attainment: Evidence from a comparative analysis," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 46(3), pages 65-96.
    12. Dirk Witteveen & Johan Westerman, 2023. "Structural Change Shapes Career Mobility Opportunities: An Analysis of Cohorts, Gender and Parental Class," Work, Employment & Society, British Sociological Association, vol. 37(1), pages 97-116, February.
    13. Uwe Neumann, 2015. "Ageing by feet? Regional migration, neighbourhood choice and local demographic change in German cities," ERSA conference papers ersa15p518, European Regional Science Association.
    14. Ansgar Hudde, 2018. "Societal Agreement on Gender Role Attitudes and Childlessness in 38 Countries," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 34(5), pages 745-767, December.
    15. Paulina Gałęzewska & Brienna Perelli-Harris & Ann Berrington, 2017. "Cross-national differences in women's repartnering behaviour in Europe: The role of individual demographic characteristics," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 37(8), pages 189-228.
    16. Kostas Rontos & Luca Salvati, 2020. "Space Matters? Exploring Gender Differentials in the Age at Marriage, Greece (1980–2017)," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-18, April.
    17. Ilaria Zambon & Kostas Rontos & Cecilia Reynaud & Luca Salvati, 2020. "Toward an unwanted dividend? Fertility decline and the North–South divide in Italy, 1952–2018," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 169-187, February.
    18. Frans Willekens & James R. Carey & Qiang Li, 2018. "Interdisciplinary Research on Healthy Aging: Introduction," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 38(10), pages 233-246.
    19. Dimiter Philipov & Sergei Scherbov, 2016. "Differences by union status in health and mortality at older ages: Results for 16 European countries," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 35(19), pages 535-556.
    20. Jesus Rodrigo-Comino & Gianluca Egidi & Luca Salvati & Giovanni Quaranta & Rosanna Salvia & Antonio Gimenez-Morera, 2021. "High-to-Low (Regional) Fertility Transitions in a Peripheral European Country: The Contribution of Exploratory Time Series Analysis," Data, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-14, February.
    21. Bijlsma, Maarten J. & Wilson, Ben, 2020. "Modelling the socio-economic determinants of fertility: a mediation analysis using the parametric g-formula," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 102414, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Studer, Matthias & Struffolino, Emanuela & Fasang, Anette Eva, 2018. "Estimating the Relationship between Time-varying Covariates and Trajectories: The Sequence Analysis Multistate Model Procedure," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 48(1), pages 103-135.
    2. Bijwaard, Govert, 2011. "Unobserved Heterogeneity in Multiple-Spell Multiple-States Duration Models," IZA Discussion Papers 5748, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Christophe J. Nordman & François Roubaud, 2009. "Reassessing the Gender Wage Gap in Madagascar: Does Labor Force Attachment Really Matter?," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 57(4), pages 785-808, July.
    4. Jan M. Hoem & Michaela R. Kreyenfeld, 2006. "Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research. Part 2: Marriage and first birth," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2006-007, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    5. Govert Bijwaard, 2014. "Multistate event history analysis with frailty," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 30(58), pages 1591-1620.
    6. Michaela R. Kreyenfeld, 2004. "Fertility decisions in the FRG and GDR," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2004-008, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    7. Francesco C. Billari & Johannes Fürnkranz & Alexia Prskawetz, 2006. "Timing, Sequencing, and Quantum of Life Course Events: A Machine Learning Approach," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 22(1), pages 37-65, March.
    8. Jan M. Hoem & Lesia Nedoluzhko, 2008. "Marriage formation as a process intermediary between migration and childbearing," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2008-015, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    9. Matsuo, Hideko & Willekens, Frans, 2003. "Event histories in the Netherlands Fertility and Family Survey 1998. A technical report," Research Reports 03-01, University of Groningen, Population Research Centre (PRC).
    10. Daniel Courgeau, 1993. "Nouvelle approche statistique des liens entre mobilité du travail et mobilité géographique," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 44(4), pages 791-808.
    11. Jan M. Hoem, 2014. "The dangers of conditioning on the time of occurrence of one demographic process in the analysis of another," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 68(2), pages 151-159, July.
    12. Jan Bavel, 2010. "Choice of study discipline and the postponement of motherhood in Europe: The impact of expected earnings, gender composition, and family attitudes," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 47(2), pages 439-458, May.
    13. Hans-Peter Blossfeld & Erik Klijzing & Katharina Pohl & Götz Rohwer, 1999. "Why Do Cohabiting Couples Marry? An Example of a Causal Event History Approach to Interdependent Systems," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 229-242, August.
    14. Laurie Brown & Binod Nepal & Heather Booth & Sophie Pennec & Kaarin Anstey & Ann Harding, 2011. "Dynamic Modelling of Ageing and Health: The Dynopta Microsimulation Model," NATSEM Working Paper Series 11/14, University of Canberra, National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling.
    15. Norman Braun & Henriette Engelhardt, 2004. "Diffusion Processes and Event History Analysis," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 2(1), pages 111-132.
    16. Jan M. Hoem & Lesia Nedoluzhko, 2008. "Marriage formation as a process intermediary between migration and childbearing," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 18(21), pages 611-628.
    17. Jan M. Hoem & Michaela Kreyenfeld, 2006. "Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 15(17), pages 485-498.
    18. Dimiter Philipov & Hans-Peter Kohler, 2001. "Tempo Effects in the Fertility Decline in Eastern Europe: Evidence from Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Russia," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 17(1), pages 37-60, March.
    19. Pau Baizan & Enriqueta Camps, 2005. "The Impact of women's educational and economic resources on fertility. Spanish birth cohorts 1901-1950," Working Papers 226, Barcelona School of Economics.
    20. Le Coeur, Sophie & Collins, Intira J. & Pannetier, Julie & Lelièvre, Éva, 2009. "Gender and access to HIV testing and antiretroviral treatments in Thailand: Why do women have more and earlier access?," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 69(6), pages 846-853, September.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:rpstxx:v:69:y:2015:i:sup1:p:s11-s20. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/rpst20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.