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Income volatility of Indonesian banks after the Asian Financial Crisis

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  • Barry Williams

Abstract

This paper considers the factors that determine Indonesian bank risk both before and after the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC). In the pre-AFC period, bank capital holdings are positively associated with bank revenue risk, which is attributed to a combination of regulatory laxity as well as laxity of enforcement. In the post-AFC period, capital is found to reduce bank risk in a non-linear manner. Franchise value is associated with lower bank risk, but in a non-linear manner; low levels of franchise value are associated with increased bank risk, while higher levels of franchise value result in lower bank risk. It is also concluded the low-to-medium levels of bank loan growth are associated with lower bank risk; however, high levels of loan growth are risk increasing. These results point to the importance of enforcement of regulatory oversight in reducing bank risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Barry Williams, 2013. "Income volatility of Indonesian banks after the Asian Financial Crisis," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 333-358.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rjapxx:v:18:y:2013:i:2:p:333-358
    DOI: 10.1080/13547860.2013.778159
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Saunders, Anthony & Walter, Ingo, 1994. "Universal Banking in the United States: What Could We Gain? What Could We Lose?," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195080698.
    2. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "Indonesia: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2007/273, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bahadır Yüzbaşı & S. Ejaz Ahmed, 2020. "Ridge Type Shrinkage Estimation of Seemingly Unrelated Regressions And Analytics of Economic and Financial Data from “Fragile Five” Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, June.
    2. Wiem Ben Jabra & Zouheir Mighri & Faysal Mansouri, 2017. "Determinants of European bank risk during financial crisis," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1298420-129, January.
    3. Williams, Barry, 2014. "Bank risk and national governance in Asia," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 10-26.
    4. Williams, Barry & Rajaguru, Gulasekaran, 2022. "The evolution of bank revenue and risk in the Asia-Pacific Region," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Gupta, Juhi & Kashiramka, Smita & Ly, Kim Cuong & Pham, Ha, 2023. "The interrelationship between bank capital and liquidity creation: A non-linear perspective from the Asia-Pacific region," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 793-820.
    6. Shams Pathan & Mamiza Haq & Barry Williams, 2016. "Does skin in the game help? Bank franchise value, managerial incentives and ‘going for broke’," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 41(2), pages 271-298, May.

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