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Interregional Multipliers: Looking Backward, Looking Forward

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Author Info
Erik Dietzenbacher

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Abstract

Backward linkages are usually measured using output multipliers as based on the input matrix. Similarly, value-added and import multipliers are derived by additionally using the corresponding primary input coefficients. For measuring forward linkages, input multipliers have been frequently used. Within a 'supply-driven' input-output model, these multipliers are obtained from the output matrix. The present paper extends this notion by taking into account also the final output coefficients. This yields consumption, export and investment multipliers. In an empirical analysis, multipliers are calculated for an intercountry input-output table of six European Union (EU) countries. The multipliers are decomposed into intracountry effects, intercountry spillover effects and intercountry feedback effects. D'habitude, les liens en amont sont mesurés à partir des multiplicateurs de production basés sur la matrice des facteurs de production. De la même manière, des multiplicateurs de valeur ajoutée et d'importation sont aussi établis employant les coefficients des facteurs de production primaires correspondants. Afin de mesurer les liens en aval, on emploie souvent des multiplicateurs des facteurs de production. Au sein d'un modèle des échanges intersectoriels déterminé par l'offre, ces multiplacateurs proviennent de la matrice de la production. Cet article cherche à étendre cette notion en tenant compte des coefficients de la production finale. Il en résulte des multiplicateurs de consommation, d'exportation et d'investissement. A partir d'une analyse empirique, des multiplicateurs sont calculés pour un tableau d'échanges intersectoriels de six pays de l'Union européene (Ue). Les multiplicateurs sont désagrégés en effets qui se font au sein d'un même pays, et en effets de répartition et de redistribution qui se font entre les pays en question. Bereits bestehende Verknüpfungen werden gewöhnlich mit Hilfe von Ertragsmultiplikatoren gemessen, die sich auf die Aufwandsmatrix stützen. Mehrwert- und Importmultiplikatoren werden auf ähnliche Art und Weise durch zusätzliche Benutzung entsprechender Koeffizienten des Grundaufwands abgeleitet. Zur Messung voraussichticher Verknüpfungen sind oft Aufwandsmultiplikatoren eingesetzt worden. Ineinem 'lieferungsgetriebenen' Aufwands-Ertragsmodell erhielt man Multiplikatoren von der Ertagsmatrix. Der vorliegende Aufsatz erweitert diese Idee, indem er auch den Endertragskoeffizienten mit in Betracht zieht. Dies ergibt Verbrauchs-, Export- und Investierungsmultiplikatoren. In einer empirischen Analyse werden Multiplikatoren für eine interstaatliche Aufwands-Ertragstabelle von sechs EU Ländern berechnet. Die Multiplikatoren werden in innerstaatliche Auswirkungen, interstaatliche Überlaufsauswirkungen und interstaatliche Rückkoppelungswirkungen zerlegt.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Regional Studies.

Volume (Year): 36 (2002)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 125-136
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Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:36:y:2002:i:2:p:125-136

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Related research
Keywords: Input-OUTPUT; Analysis; Multipliers; Linkages; Spillovers; Feedbacks;

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. W B Beyers, 1976. "Empirical identification of key sectors: some further evidence," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 8(2), pages 231-236, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Wilting, Harry C & Biesiot, Wouter & Moll, Henri C, 1999. "Analyzing Potentials for Reducing the Energy Requirement of Households in the Netherlands," Economic Systems Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 233-43, September.
  3. Julio Sanchez-Choliz, Rosa Duarte, 2000. "The Economic Impacts of Newly Irrigated Areas in the Ebro Valley," Economic Systems Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 83-98, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Jones, Leroy P, 1976. "The Measurement of Hirschmanian Linkages," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 90(2), pages 323-33, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Dietzenbacher, Erik, 1992. "The measurement of interindustry linkages : Key sectors in the Netherlands," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 419-437, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Pyatt, F Graham & Round, Jeffery I, 1979. "Accounting and Fixed Price Multipliers in a Social Accounting Matrix Framework," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 89(356), pages 850-73, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Richard Weisskoff, 2000. "Missing Pieces in Ecosystem Restoration: The Case of the Florida Everglades," Economic Systems Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 271-303, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Mark De Haan, 2001. "A Structural Decomposition Analysis of Pollution in the Netherlands," Economic Systems Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 181-196, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Kenneth A. Reinert, David W. Roland-Holst, 2001. "Industrial Pollution Linkages in North America: a Linear Analysis," Economic Systems Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 197-208, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. M. Alejandro Cardenete & Ferran Sancho, 2006. "Missing links in key sector analysis," Economic Systems Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 319-325, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Massón-Guerra, José Luis & Vendrell-Ferrero, Ferran, 2008. "Entrepreneurship Spillover and the determinants of Key Sectors for new business creation: An inter-sectorial approach," MPRA Paper 10748, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  3. Massón-Guerra, José Luis, 2008. "The Multipliers and Key Sectors of Entrepreneurship Spillover: An input-output approach," MPRA Paper 10733, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. Peter Midmore & Max Munday & Annette Roberts, 2006. "Assessing industry linkages using regional input--output tables," Regional Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 329-343, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Malcolm Beynon & Max Munday, 2008. "Stochastic key sector analysis: an application to a regional input–output framework," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 863-877, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Jose Pavía & Bernardi Cabrer & Luis Vila, 2006. "Interregional Trade Linkages and the Commercial Role: The Spanish Case," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 91-103, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Junning Cai & Pingsun Leung, 2004. "Linkage Measures: a Revisit and a Suggested Alternative," Economic Systems Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 63-83, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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