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A Multi-stream Analysis of the Changing Pattern of Interregional Migration in Great Britain, 1960-1991

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  • Ian Gordon
  • Ian Molho

Abstract

GORDON I. and MOLHO I. (1998) A multi-stream analysis of the changing pattern of interregional migration in Great Britain, 1960-1991, Reg. Studies, 32 , 309-323. This paper uses a combination of spatial and econometric modelling techniques to investigate longer term patterns and processes of change in British interregional migration, starting from a distinction between an (employment oriented) national movement stream and a (housing and environment related) regional stream. The two major influences on the longer distance flows are found to be relative rates of employment growth and perceived environmental quality, but while the former induces marked fluctuations within the observation period, the influence of the latter factor shows little variation, with no sign of a clean break. There is, however, evidence of a sharply reduced responsiveness of migration to unemployment differentials since the mid-1970s. GORDON I. et MOLHO I. (1998) Une analyse a flux multiples de l'evolution de la distribution de la migration interregionale en Grande-Bretagne de 1960 a 1991, Reg. Studies 32 , 309-323. A partir d'une distinction entre un flux national (oriente vers l'emploi) et un flux regional (oriente vers le logement et le milieu), cet article se sert d'une combinaison des techniques de modelisation et spatiales et econometriques afin d'examiner les distributions a plus long terme et les processus de changement de la migration interregionale en Grande-Bretagne. Les taux relatifs de la croissance de l'emploi et la qualite du milieu percue s'averent les deux influences majeures sur les flux a plus longue distance, mais alors que le premier entraine d'importantes fluctuations pendant la periode d'observation, l'influence de ce dernier varie peu, sans aucun signe d'une rupture definitive. Cependant, tout indique que la reaction de la migration aux ecarts de chomage a chute sensiblement depuis le milieu des annees 70. GORDON I. und MOLHO I. (1998) Eine Mehrfachanalyse der Veranderungen bei zwischenregionaler Wanderung in Grossbritannien im Zeitraum 1960-1991, Reg. Studies 32, 309-323. Dieser Aufsatz benutzt eine Kombination raumlicher und okonometrischer Modelltechniken, um langfristigere Muster und Vorgange der bei zwischenregionaler Wanderung in Grossbritannien auftretenden Veranderungen zu untersuchen. Dabei wird zwischen von Erwerbstatigkeit bestimmter, das ganze Land betreffender Stromung und Wohnsitz- und umgebungsbezogener, regional beschrankter Stromung unterschieden. Es stellt sich heraus, dass die relativen Zuwachsraten der Erwerbstatigkeit sowie die Wahrnehmung bestimmter Eigenschaften der Umgebung die beiden Haupteinflusse auf die uber grossere Entfernungen stattfindenden Bewegungen sind, doch wahrend erstere deutliche Schwankungen im Untersuchungszeitraum verursachte, wies letztere nur geringfugige Abweichungen auf, und keinerlei Anzeichen einer eindeutigen Beendigung. Es gibt jedoch Anzeichen einer seit Mitte der siebziger Jahre stark nachlassenden Aufgeschlossenheit fur Wanderung bei Erwerbslosigkeitsunerschieden.

Suggested Citation

  • Ian Gordon & Ian Molho, 1998. "A Multi-stream Analysis of the Changing Pattern of Interregional Migration in Great Britain, 1960-1991," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 309-323.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:32:y:1998:i:4:p:309-323
    DOI: 10.1080/00343409850117771
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jackman, Richard & Savouri, Savvas, 1992. "Regional Migration in Britain: An Analysis of Gross Flows Using NHS Central Register Data," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 102(415), pages 1433-1450, November.
    2. Hughes, Gordon & McCormick, Barry, 1981. "Do Council Housing Policies Reduce Migration between Regions?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 91(364), pages 919-937, December.
    3. Molho, Ian, 1986. "Theories of Migration: A Review," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 33(4), pages 396-419, November.
    4. G. M. Hyman, 1969. "The Calibration of Trip Distribution Models," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 1(1), pages 105-112, June.
    5. Minford, Patrick & Ashton, Paul & Peel, Michael, 1988. "The Effects of Housing Distortions on Unemployment," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 40(2), pages 322-345, June.
    6. Gordon, Ian R, 1985. "The Cyclical Interaction between Regional Migration, Employment and Unemployment: A Time Series Analysis for Scotland," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 32(2), pages 135-158, June.
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    3. Nigel Driffield & Karl Taylor, 2006. "Wage Spillovers, Inter-regional Effects and the Impact of Inward Investment," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 187-205.

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