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Intraday pairs trading strategies on high frequency data: the case of oil companies

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  • Bo Liu
  • Lo-Bin Chang
  • Hélyette Geman

Abstract

This paper introduces novel ‘doubly mean-reverting’ processes based on conditional modelling of model spreads between pairs of stocks. Intraday trading strategies using high frequency data are proposed based on the model. This model framework and the strategies are designed to capture ‘local’ market inefficiencies that are elusive for traditional pairs trading strategies with daily data. Results from real data back-testing for two periods show remarkable returns, even accounting for transaction costs, with annualized Sharpe ratios of 3.9 and 7.2 over the periods June 2013–April 2015 and 2008, respectively. By choosing the particular sector of oil companies, we also confirm the observation that the commodity price is the main driver of the share prices of commodity-producing companies at times of spikes in the related commodity market.

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  • Bo Liu & Lo-Bin Chang & Hélyette Geman, 2017. "Intraday pairs trading strategies on high frequency data: the case of oil companies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 87-100, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:17:y:2017:i:1:p:87-100
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2016.1184304
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    Cited by:

    1. Endres, Sylvia & Stübinger, Johannes, 2017. "Optimal trading strategies for Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 17/2017, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    2. Muhammad Asif Khan & Masood Ahmed & József Popp & Judit Oláh, 2020. "US Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Nexus Revisited through Dynamic ARDL Simulation and Threshold Modelling," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-20, November.
    3. Flori, Andrea & Regoli, Daniele, 2021. "Revealing Pairs-trading opportunities with long short-term memory networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(2), pages 772-791.
    4. Xiang, Yun & He, Jiaxuan, 2022. "Pairs trading and asset pricing," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    5. Stübinger, Johannes & Endres, Sylvia, 2017. "Pairs trading with a mean-reverting jump-diffusion model on high-frequency data," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 10/2017, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    6. Alexander Lipton & Marcos Lopez de Prado, 2020. "A closed-form solution for optimal mean-reverting trading strategies," Papers 2003.10502, arXiv.org.
    7. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2021. "Profiting on the Stock Market in Pandemic Times: Study of COVID-19 Effects on CESEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(17), pages 1-20, August.
    8. Syed Mujahid Hussain & Sergey Osmekhin & Frédéric Délèze, 2021. "Short-term market efficiency indicator based on the waiting-time distribution," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 15(6), pages 1561-1572, August.
    9. Chu, Jeffrey & Chan, Stephen & Zhang, Yuanyuan, 2020. "High frequency momentum trading with cryptocurrencies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    10. Johannes Stübinger & Lucas Schneider, 2019. "Statistical Arbitrage with Mean-Reverting Overnight Price Gaps on High-Frequency Data of the S&P 500," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-19, April.
    11. Stübinger, Johannes & Walter, Dominik & Knoll, Julian, 2017. "Financial market predictions with Factorization Machines: Trading the opening hour based on overnight social media data," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 19/2017, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    12. Yen-Sheng Lee, 2022. "Representative Bias and Pairs Trade: Evidence From S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Indexes," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(3), pages 21582440221, August.
    13. Johannes St binger & Jens Bredthauer, 2017. "Statistical Arbitrage Pairs Trading with High-frequency Data," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 650-662.
    14. Vladimír Holý & Michal Černý, 2022. "Bertram’s pairs trading strategy with bounded risk," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 30(2), pages 667-682, June.
    15. Endres, Sylvia & Stübinger, Johannes, 2018. "A flexible regime switching model with pairs trading application to the S&P 500 high-frequency stock returns," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 07/2018, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    16. Johannes Stübinger & Sylvia Endres, 2018. "Pairs trading with a mean-reverting jump–diffusion model on high-frequency data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(10), pages 1735-1751, October.
    17. Thomas Günter Fischer & Christopher Krauss & Alexander Deinert, 2019. "Statistical Arbitrage in Cryptocurrency Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, February.
    18. Karen Balladares & José Pedro Ramos-Requena & Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia & Miguel Angel Sánchez-Granero, 2021. "Statistical Arbitrage in Emerging Markets: A Global Test of Efficiency," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-20, January.
    19. Lucas Schneider & Johannes Stübinger, 2020. "Dispersion Trading Based on the Explanatory Power of S&P 500 Stock Returns," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-22, September.
    20. Vladim'ir Hol'y & Petra Tomanov'a, 2018. "Estimation of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process Using Ultra-High-Frequency Data with Application to Intraday Pairs Trading Strategy," Papers 1811.09312, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.

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