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Pairs trading with a mean-reverting jump-diffusion model on high-frequency data

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  • Stübinger, Johannes
  • Endres, Sylvia

Abstract

This paper develops a pairs trading framework based on a mean-reverting jump-diffusion model and applies it to minute-by-minute data of the S&P 500 oil companies from 1998 to 2015. The established statistical arbitrage strategy enables us to perform intraday and overnight trading. Essentially, we conduct a 3-step calibration procedure to the spreads of all pair combinations in a formation period. Top pairs are selected based on their spreads' meanreversion speed and jump behavior. Afterwards, we trade the top pairs in an out-of-sample trading period with individualized entry and exit thresholds. In the back-testing study, the strategy produces statistically and economically significant returns of 60.61 percent p.a. and an annualized Sharpe ratio of 5.30, after transaction costs. We benchmark our pairs trading strategy against variants based on traditional distance and time-series approaches and find its performance to be superior relating to risk-return characteristics. The mean-reversion speed is a main driver of successful and fast termination of the pairs trading strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Stübinger, Johannes & Endres, Sylvia, 2017. "Pairs trading with a mean-reverting jump-diffusion model on high-frequency data," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 10/2017, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwqwdp:102017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Endres, Sylvia & Stübinger, Johannes, 2017. "Optimal trading strategies for Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 17/2017, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    2. Stübinger, Johannes & Walter, Dominik & Knoll, Julian, 2017. "Financial market predictions with Factorization Machines: Trading the opening hour based on overnight social media data," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 19/2017, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    3. Johannes St binger & Jens Bredthauer, 2017. "Statistical Arbitrage Pairs Trading with High-frequency Data," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 650-662.
    4. Knoll, Julian & Stübinger, Johannes & Grottke, Michael, 2017. "Exploiting social media with higher-order Factorization Machines: Statistical arbitrage on high-frequency data of the S&P 500," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 13/2017, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    5. Bahareh Afhami & Mohsen Rezapour & Mohsen Madadi & Vahed Maroufy, 2021. "Dynamic investment portfolio optimization using a Multivariate Merton Model with Correlated Jump Risk," Papers 2104.11594, arXiv.org.

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    Keywords

    finance; statistical arbitrage; pairs trading; high-frequency data; jump-diffusion model; mean-reversion;
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