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The Determinants of Stock Price Exposure: Financial Engineering and the Gold Mining Industry

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Peter Tufano (Harvard Business School)
Abstract

This paper studies the exposure of North American gold mining firms to changes in the price of gold. The average mining stock moves 2 percent for each 1 percent change in gold prices, but exposures vary considerably over time and across firms. As predicted by valuation models, gold firm exposures are significantly negatively related to the firm's hedging and diversification activities and to gold prices and gold return volatility, and are positively related to firm leverage. Simple discounted cash flow models produce useful exposure predictions but they systematically overestimate exposures, possibly due to their failure to reflect managerial flexibility. Copyright The American Finance Association 1998.

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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 53 (1998)
Issue (Month): 3 (06)
Pages: 1015-1052
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:53:y:1998:i:3:p:1015-1052

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  1. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "How To Group Market Participants? Heterogeneity In Hedging Behavior," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 21963, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association). [Downloadable!]
  2. Venkatachalam, Mohan & Linsmeier, Thomas J. & Thornton, Daniel B. & Welker, Michael, 2001. "Do FRR 48 Disclosures Reduce Investors' Uncertainty and Diversity of Opinion about Firms' Market Risk Exposures?: A Trading Volume Analysis," Research Papers 1674, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business. [Downloadable!]
  3. Matteo Manera & Massimo Giovannini & Margherita Grasso & Alessandro Lanza, 2004. "Conditional Correlations in the Returns on Oil Companies Stock Prices and Their Determinants," Working Papers 2004.71, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Davies, Phil & Minton, Bernadette & Schrand, Catherine, 2008. "Commodity Price Exposure and Ownerhsip Clienteles," Working Paper Series 2008-7, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Hyun-Han Shin & Rene M. Stulz, 2000. "Firm Value, Risk, and Growth Opportunities," NBER Working Papers 7808, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. William O. Brown, Jr. & Richard C.K. Burdekin, . "Fraud and Financial Markets: The 1997 Collapse of the Junior Mining Stocks," Claremont Colleges Working Papers 1999-28, Claremont Colleges. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Christopher C. Geczy & Bernadette A. Minton & Catherine Schrand, . "Choices Among Alternative Risk Management Strategies: Evidence from the Natural Gas Industry," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 28-99, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research. [Downloadable!]
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