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Guangdong: A catalyst for economic growth and exports in hunan province

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  • Christer Ljungwall
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    Abstract

    This paper uses the concept of Granger-causality to analyze the link between export expansion in the rapidly growing Guangdong province and GDP growth and exports in Hunan, its adjacent northwest neighbor province. Data cover the 1978 to 2001 period. A long-run equilibrium relationship is found between the variables and a long-run positive causality is detected from export expansion in Guangdong to both GDP growth and exports in Hunan. Hence, the results seem to support the unbalanced regional development policy implemented by the central government in the late 1970s and early 1980s.

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    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/147658042000276114
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies.

    Volume (Year): 2 (2004)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 249-265

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    Handle: RePEc:taf:jocebs:v:2:y:2004:i:3:p:249-265

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    Related research

    Keywords: Spillover effects; backward linkages; error-correction; China; JEL classifications: C22; F14; F15; O10; O53;

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    References

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    1. Prema-chandra Athukorala & Bambang Santosa, 1997. "Gains from Indonesian Export Growth: Do Linkages Matter?," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 73-95.
    2. Glaeser, Edward Ludwig & Kallal, Hedi D. & Scheinkman, Jose A. & Shleifer, Andrei, 1992. "Growth in Cities," Scholarly Articles 3451309, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    3. Abul Masih & Rumi Masih, 1998. "A multivariate cointegrated modelling approach in testing temporal causality between energy consumption, real income and prices with an application to two Asian LDCs," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(10), pages 1287-1298.
    4. Chen Chunlai, 1997. "The Evolution and Main Features of China's Foreign Direct Investment Policies," Chinese Economies Research Centre (CERC) Working Papers 1997-15, University of Adelaide, Chinese Economies Research Centre.
    5. Litwack, John M. & Qian, Yingyi, 1998. "Balanced or Unbalanced Development: Special Economic Zones as Catalysts for Transition," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 117-141, March.
    6. Venables, Anthony J, 1996. "Localization of Industry and Trade Performance," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 52-60, Autumn.
    7. Jean-Fran├žois BRUN & Jean-Louis COMBES & Mary-Fran├žoise RENARD, 2001. "Are There Spillover Effects Between Coastal and Non-Coastal Regions in China ?," Working Papers 200113, CERDI.
    8. repec:wop:cercwp:97_15 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
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