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Estimation and identification of change points in panel models with nonstationary or stationary regressors and error term

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  • Badi H. Baltagi
  • Chihwa Kao
  • Long Liu

Abstract

This article studies the estimation of change point in panel models. We extend Bai (2010) and Feng et al. (2009) to the case of stationary or nonstationary regressors and error term, and whether the change point is present or not. We prove consistency and derive the asymptotic distributions of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and First Difference (FD) estimators. We find that the FD estimator is robust for all cases considered.

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  • Badi H. Baltagi & Chihwa Kao & Long Liu, 2017. "Estimation and identification of change points in panel models with nonstationary or stationary regressors and error term," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1-3), pages 85-102, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:36:y:2017:i:1-3:p:85-102
    DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2015.1114262
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    13. Badi H. Baltagi & Chihwa Kao & Long Liu, 2008. "Asymptotic properties of estimators for the linear panel regression model with random individual effects and serially correlated errors: the case of stationary and non-stationary regressors and residu," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 11(3), pages 554-572, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Badi H. Baltagi & Qu Feng & Chihwa Kao, 2019. "Structural changes in heterogeneous panels with endogenous regressors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 883-892, September.
    2. Jan Ditzen & Yiannis Karavias & Joakim Westerlund, 2022. "Multiple Structural Breaks in Interactive Effects Panel Data and the Impact of Quantitative Easing on Bank Lending," Papers 2211.06707, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
    3. Otilia Boldea & Bettina Drepper & Zhuojiong Gan, 2020. "Change point estimation in panel data with time‐varying individual effects," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 712-727, September.
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    6. Yiren Wang & Peter C B Phillips & Liangjun Su, 2023. "Panel Data Models with Time-Varying Latent Group Structures," Papers 2307.15863, arXiv.org.
    7. Yiannis Karavias & Paresh Kumar Narayan & Joakim Westerlund, 2023. "Structural Breaks in Interactive Effects Panels and the Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(3), pages 653-666, July.
    8. Smith, Simon C. & Timmermann, Allan & Zhu, Yinchu, 2019. "Variable selection in panel models with breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 323-344.
    9. Okui, Ryo & Wang, Wendun, 2021. "Heterogeneous structural breaks in panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 447-473.
    10. Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Okui, Ryo & Wang, Wendun, 2023. "Estimation of panel group structure models with structural breaks in group memberships and coefficients," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 45-65.
    11. Baltagi, Badi H. & Feng, Qu & Kao, Chihwa, 2016. "Estimation of heterogeneous panels with structural breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 176-195.
    12. Badi H. Baltagi & Chihwa Kao & Long Liu, 2020. "Testing for shifts in a time trend panel data model with serially correlated error component disturbances," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(8), pages 745-762, September.
    13. Chihwa Kao & Long Liu & Rui Sun, 2021. "A bias-corrected fixed effects estimator in the dynamic panel data model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 205-225, January.
    14. Maksimov, Andrey & Telezhkina, Marina, 2019. "Econometric analysis of phenomenon of higher education expansion," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 55, pages 91-112.
    15. Chen, Bin & Huang, Liquan, 2018. "Nonparametric testing for smooth structural changes in panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 202(2), pages 245-267.
    16. Jiang, Peiyun & Kurozumi, Eiji, 2021. "A new test for common breaks in heterogeneous panel data models," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-107, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
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    20. Chang, Seong Yeon, 2021. "Estimation of a level shift in panel data with fractionally integrated errors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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