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Quantifying international oil price shocks on renewable energy development in China

Author

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  • Yurong Zhao
  • Yingying Zhang
  • Weixian Wei

Abstract

It is a common belief that renewable energy is an effective alternative to traditional fossil energy, namely, oil; thus, an international oil price shock is a significant factor affecting renewable energy development. This paper builds a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model to explore the effects of rise and fall in international oil price on the investment and outputs of renewable energy industry, as well as the macroeconomy and environment in China. In addition, the role of renewable energy policy is verified through simulating the combination scenario of oil price fluctuation and renewable energy policy. The results reveal that an increasing international oil price can advance the outputs and investment of renewable energy, decrease China’s real GDP and exports, and improve the atmosphere environment, and the influence of a decreasing international oil price is the opposite. Furthermore, renewable energy policy can attenuate the negative effect of a decreasing oil price on renewable energy development and the environment, and strengthen its contribution to GDP.

Suggested Citation

  • Yurong Zhao & Yingying Zhang & Weixian Wei, 2021. "Quantifying international oil price shocks on renewable energy development in China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(3), pages 329-344, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:3:p:329-344
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808173
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    Cited by:

    1. Shiqiu Zhu & Yuanying Chi & Kaiye Gao & Yahui Chen & Rui Peng, 2022. "Analysis of Influencing Factors of Thermal Coal Price," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-16, August.
    2. Wen, Jun & Farooq, Umar & Tabash, Mosab I. & El Refae, Ghaleb A. & Ahmed, Jaleel & Subhani, Bilal Haider, 2021. "Government green environmental concerns and corporate real investment decisions: Does financial sector development matter?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    3. Wan, Qilong & Miao, Xiaodong & Afshan, Sahar, 2022. "Dynamic effects of natural resource abundance, green financing, and government environmental concerns toward the sustainable environment in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Ishaya Jonah Tegina Tambari & Pierre Failler & Shabbar Jaffry, 2023. "The Differential Effects of Oil Prices on the Development of Renewable Energy in Oil-Importing and Oil-Exporting Countries in Africa," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-20, April.
    5. Ousama Ben-Salha & Abdelaziz Hakimi & Taha Zaghdoudi & Hassan Soltani & Mariem Nsaibi, 2022. "Assessing the Impact of Fossil Fuel Prices on Renewable Energy in China Using the Novel Dynamic ARDL Simulations Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-17, August.
    6. Kuang, Yunming & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "Performance of tiered pricing policy for residential natural gas in China: Does the income effect matter?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    7. Atems, Bebonchu & Mette, Jehu & Lin, Guoyu & Madraki, Golshan, 2023. "Estimating and forecasting the impact of nonrenewable energy prices on US renewable energy consumption," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    8. Juan Meng & Bin Mo & He Nie, 2023. "The dynamics of crude oil future prices on China's energy markets: Quantile‐on‐quantile and casualty‐in‐quantiles approaches," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(12), pages 1853-1871, December.
    9. Yang, Qi-Cheng & Zheng, Mingbo & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2022. "Energy policy and green innovation: A quantile investigation into renewable energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 1166-1175.
    10. Köse, Nezir & Ünal, Emre, 2021. "The effects of the oil price and oil price volatility on inflation in Turkey," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    11. Tii N. Nchofoung, 2023. "Oil price shocks and energy transition in Africa," Working Papers 23/064, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    12. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Bai, Lan & Wang, Yizhi, 2023. "Connectedness among El Niño-Southern Oscillation, carbon emission allowance, crude oil and renewable energy stock markets: Time- and frequency-domain evidence based on TVP-VAR model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 289-309.

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