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COVID-19, Grippewellen und ökonomische Aktivität — die Perspektive der Wirkungsanalyse
[COVID-19, Influenza and Economic Activity — An Impact Analysis Perspective]

Author

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  • Adalbert Winkler

    (Frankfurt School of Finance and Management)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Die öffentliche Diskussion zur Corona-Krise nimmt an Schärfe zu. Dabei stehen die Letalitätsrate sowie die Wirkungen staatlicher Maßnahmen in Hinblick auf ihre epidemiologischen und ökonomischen Wirkungen im Mittelpunkt. Der Streit ließe sich klären, wenn man an randomisierte, kontrollierte Studien angelehnte Wirkungsanalysen durchführen könnte. Dies ist mangels Kontrollgruppe aber nicht möglich. So ist eine weiter zunehmende Polarisierung zu erwarten, gerade wenn die Todeszahlen niedrig bleiben.

Suggested Citation

  • Adalbert Winkler, 2020. "COVID-19, Grippewellen und ökonomische Aktivität — die Perspektive der Wirkungsanalyse [COVID-19, Influenza and Economic Activity — An Impact Analysis Perspective]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(5), pages 344-350, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:100:y:2020:i:5:d:10.1007_s10273-020-2655-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-020-2655-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Oscar Jorda & Sanjay R. Singh & Alan M. Taylor, 2022. "Longer-Run Economic Consequences of Pandemics," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(1), pages 166-175, March.
    2. Beatriz Armendáriz & Jonathan Morduch, 2010. "The Economics of Microfinance, Second Edition," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262014106, December.
    3. Rachel Glennerster & Kudzai Takavarasha, 2013. "Running Randomized Evaluations: A Practical Guide," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10085.
    4. Christopher Avery & William Bossert & Adam Clark & Glenn Ellison & Sara Fisher Ellison, 2020. "Policy Implications of Models of the Spread of Coronavirus: Perspectives and Opportunities for Economists," NBER Working Papers 27007, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Christopher Avery & William Bossert & Adam Thomas Clark & Glenn Ellison & Sara Ellison, 2020. "Policy Implications of Models of the Spread of Coronavirus: Perspectives and Opportunities for Economists," CESifo Working Paper Series 8293, CESifo.
    6. Homburg, Stefan, 2020. "Evidenz zur Coronainfektion und der Wirkung des Lockdown," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-670, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael König & Adalbert Winkler, 2021. "COVID-19: Lockdowns, Fatality Rates and GDP Growth," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 56(1), pages 32-39, January.
    2. Michael König & Adalbert Winkler, 2021. "Makroökonomische Effekte der Kontaktbeschränkung in der Pandemie," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 101(3), pages 232-234, March.

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    JEL classification:

    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • I15 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health and Economic Development
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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