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Modeling the behaviour of science and technology: self-propagating growth in the diffusion process

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  • Chan-Yuan Wong

    (University of Malaya)

  • Kim-Leng Goh

    (University of Malaya)

Abstract

Through theoretical analysis and empirical demonstration, this paper attempts to model the behavior of science and technology by investigating the self-propagating behavior of their diffusion for South Korea, Malaysia and Japan. The dynamics of the self-propagating behavior were examined using the logistic growth function within a dynamic carrying capacity, while allowing for different effectiveness of potential influence of science and technology producers on potential adopters. Evidence suggests that the self-propagating growth function is particularly relevant for countries with advanced science and technology, like Japan. While self-propagating growth was also found for South Korea, the diffusion process remained fairly static for Malaysia.

Suggested Citation

  • Chan-Yuan Wong & Kim-Leng Goh, 2010. "Modeling the behaviour of science and technology: self-propagating growth in the diffusion process," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 84(3), pages 669-686, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:scient:v:84:y:2010:i:3:d:10.1007_s11192-010-0220-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11192-010-0220-x
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Carrying capacity; Diffusion; Growth function; Science; Technology;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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