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Determinants of microcredit repayment in Portugal: analysis of borrowers, loans and business projects

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  • Jorge Mota

    (University of Aveiro)

  • António Carrizo Moreira

    (University of Aveiro)

  • Cristóvão Brandão

    (University of Aveiro)

Abstract

Microcredit programs in Portugal represent a unique case for studying the microcredit repayment determinants in a developed country, as it experienced a financial hardship in 2008–2009, with economic and social consequences that led to unemployment crisis. This research examined the determinants of microcredit loan repayment based on a sample of 752 microcredit loans granted in Portugal by the National Association for the Right to Credit, adopting individual lending mechanisms and granting loans through partnerships with several credit institutions. This is the first study to ascertain the influence that a set of factors – grouped into three categories: borrowers’ individual characteristics; loan characteristics; and characteristics of business projects implemented by borrowers – has on the repayment ability of microcredit programs, in a developed country of the Eurozone. Moreover, this is the first study using an ordered logistic regression (OLR) in estimating the determinants of microcredit loan repayment. Similar to previous studies, married borrowers tend to repay loans faster as they tend to be more responsible than single borrowers. Nationality seems to be an issue as foreigners tends to default the repayment loans. Finally, those involved in manufacturing activities perform better than those involved in service activities in repaying their loans. This clearly indicates that in developed countries special attention needs to be provided to minority groups as well as market/supply conditions, which are not normally considered in less favored economic countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Mota & António Carrizo Moreira & Cristóvão Brandão, 2018. "Determinants of microcredit repayment in Portugal: analysis of borrowers, loans and business projects," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 17(3), pages 141-171, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:portec:v:17:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s10258-018-0148-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10258-018-0148-2
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    2. John De Jesús González & Filiberto Enrique Valdés Medina & Maria Luisa Saavedra García, 2021. "Factores de éxito en el financiamiento para Pymes a través del Crowdfunding en México," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(2), pages 1-23, Abril - J.
    3. John De Jesús González & Filiberto Enrique Valdés Medina & Maria Luisa Saavedra García, 2021. "Factores de éxito en el financiamiento para Pymes a través del Crowdfunding en México," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(2), pages 1-23, Abril - J.
    4. Debadutta Panda & Sriharsha Reddy, 2020. "Predictors of microcredit default in Indian self‐help groups," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 91(2), pages 303-318, June.

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