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Economic policy uncertainty spillover effects on sectoral equity returns of New Zealand

Author

Listed:
  • Faruk Balli

    (Massey University
    Al-Farabi Kazakh National University)

  • Hatice O. Balli

    (Massey University)

  • Mudassar Hasan

    (Massey University
    The University of Lahore)

  • Russell Gregory-Allen

    (Massey University)

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a weekly index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) for New Zealand and examine the return and volatility spillovers from New Zealand (local) and US (foreign) EPU on aggregate (NZSE) and sectoral indices of New Zealand stock market. The multivariate VAR (1)-BEKK-GARCH model is employed for this purpose. Overall, our findings suggest that NZ equity sectors and NZSE receive much stronger and more pronounced spillover effects from US EPU compared to the local counterpart (NZ EPU). While the return spillovers from both EPUs are somewhat similar yet limited to just a few sectors, the effect of US EPU on NZ sectors’ volatility outstrips that of the NZ EPU. Furthermore, while the domestically oriented sectors are relatively more vulnerable to NZ EPU, those having export/import concentration with the US are mainly susceptible to US EPU. These findings may be useful to investors seeking sectoral diversification opportunities across New Zealand and the US.

Suggested Citation

  • Faruk Balli & Hatice O. Balli & Mudassar Hasan & Russell Gregory-Allen, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty spillover effects on sectoral equity returns of New Zealand," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(4), pages 670-686, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:44:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s12197-020-09508-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s12197-020-09508-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Lee, Kiryoung & Jeon, Yoontae & Nam, Eun-Young, 2021. "Chinese Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Cross-Section of U.S. Asset Returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1063-1077.
    3. Gu, Jianqiang & Yue, Xiao-Guang & Nosheen, Safia & Naveed -ul-Haq, & Shi, Lei, 2022. "Does more stringencies in government policies during pandemic impact stock returns? Fresh evidence from GREF countries, a new emerging green bloc," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    4. Vamsidhar Ambatipudi & Dilip Kumar, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty Versus Sector Volatility: Evidence from India Using Multi-scale Wavelet Granger Causality Analysis," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(2), pages 184-210, June.
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    6. Ali, Sara & Badshah, Ihsan & Demirer, Riza & Hegde, Prasad, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and institutional investment returns: The case of New Zealand," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    7. Cynthia Sari DEWI & Florentina KURNIASARI & Helena DEWI & Eko ENDARTO & Nurhuda NIZAR, 2021. "Return Spillover Between The U.S., Japanese, And Indonesian Stock Market During Covid-19," Business Excellence and Management, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 11(5), pages 196-207, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Spillover models; Economic policy uncertainty; Stock markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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