IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/futbus/v7y2021i1d10.1186_s43093-020-00048-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The relationship between tourism and economic growth among BRICS countries: a panel cointegration analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Haroon Rasool

    (Aligarh Muslim University)

  • Shafat Maqbool

    (Aligarh Muslim University)

  • Md. Tarique

    (Aligarh Muslim University)

Abstract

Tourism has become the world’s third-largest export industry after fuels and chemicals, and ahead of food and automotive products. From last few years, there has been a great surge in international tourism, culminates to 7% share of World’s total exports in 2016. To this end, the study attempts to examine the relationship between inbound tourism, financial development and economic growth by using the panel data over the period 1995–2015 for five BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) countries. The results of panel ARDL cointegration test indicate that tourism, financial development and economic growth are cointegrated in the long run. Further, the Granger causality analysis demonstrates that the causality between inbound tourism and economic growth is bi-directional, thus validates the ‘feedback-hypothesis’ in BRICS countries. The study suggests that BRICS countries should promote favorable tourism policies to push up the economic growth and in turn economic growth will positively contribute to international tourism.

Suggested Citation

  • Haroon Rasool & Shafat Maqbool & Md. Tarique, 2021. "The relationship between tourism and economic growth among BRICS countries: a panel cointegration analysis," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:futbus:v:7:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1186_s43093-020-00048-3
    DOI: 10.1186/s43093-020-00048-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1186/s43093-020-00048-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1186/s43093-020-00048-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Balassa, Bela, 1978. "Exports and economic growth : Further evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 181-189, June.
    2. Dumitrescu, Elena-Ivona & Hurlin, Christophe, 2012. "Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1450-1460.
    3. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    4. Hassan, M. Kabir & Sanchez, Benito & Yu, Jung-Suk, 2011. "Financial development and economic growth: New evidence from panel data," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 88-104, February.
    5. Im, Kyung So & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2003. "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 53-74, July.
    6. Umer J Banday & Saba Ismail, 2017. "Does tourism development lead positive or negative impact on economic growth and environment in BRICS countries? A panel data analysis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(1), pages 553-567.
    7. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Dragouni, Mina & Filis, George, 2015. "How strong is the linkage between tourism and economic growth in Europe?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 142-155.
    8. King, Robert G. & Levine, Ross, 1993. "Finance, entrepreneurship and growth: Theory and evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 513-542, December.
    9. Alfred A. Haug, 2002. "Temporal Aggregation and the Power of Cointegration Tests: a Monte Carlo Study," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 64(4), pages 399-412, September.
    10. Jacint Balaguer & Manuel Cantavella-Jorda, 2002. "Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: the Spanish case," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(7), pages 877-884.
    11. Ross Levine, 1997. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: Views and Agenda," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(2), pages 688-726, June.
    12. Krueger, Anne O, 1980. "Trade Policy as an Input to Development," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(2), pages 288-292, May.
    13. Schubert, Stefan Franz & Brida, Juan Gabriel & Risso, Wiston Adrián, 2011. "The impacts of international tourism demand on economic growth of small economies dependent on tourism," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 377-385.
    14. Tang, Chor Foon & Aviral Kumar, Tiwari & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2016. "Dynamic Inter-relationships among tourism, economic growth and energy consumption in India," MPRA Paper 69848, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Mar 2016.
    15. Ridderstaat, Jorge & Oduber, Marck & Croes, Robertico & Nijkamp, Peter & Martens, Pim, 2014. "Impacts of seasonal patterns of climate on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand: Evidence from Aruba," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 245-256.
    16. James E. Payne & Andrea Mervar, 2010. "Research Note: The Tourism–Growth Nexus in Croatia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(4), pages 1089-1094, December.
    17. Bell, Clive & Rousseau, Peter L., 2001. "Post-independence India: a case of finance-led industrialization?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 153-175, June.
    18. Chen, Ming-Hsiang, 2010. "The economy, tourism growth and corporate performance in the Taiwanese hotel industry," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 665-675.
    19. Çağatay Başarir & Yasin Nuri Çakir, 2015. "Causal Interactions Between Co2 Emissions, Financial Development, Energy and Tourism," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(11), pages 1227-1238, November.
    20. Ronald Kumar, 2014. "Exploring the role of technology, tourism and financial development: an empirical study of Vietnam," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 48(5), pages 2881-2898, September.
    21. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George & Eeckels, Bruno & Apostolakis, Alexandros, 2013. "Oil prices, tourism income and economic growth: A structural VAR approach for European Mediterranean countries," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 331-341.
    22. Po, Wan-Chen & Huang, Bwo-Nung, 2008. "Tourism development and economic growth–a nonlinear approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(22), pages 5535-5542.
    23. Hur, Jung & Raj, Manoj & Riyanto, Yohanes E., 2006. "Finance and trade: A cross-country empirical analysis on the impact of financial development and asset tangibility on international trade," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 1728-1741, October.
    24. Ramphul Ohlan, 2015. "The impact of population density, energy consumption, economic growth and trade openness on CO 2 emissions in India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(2), pages 1409-1428, November.
    25. JG. Brida & M. Pulina, 2010. "A literature review on the tourism-led-growth hypothesis," Working Paper CRENoS 201017, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    26. Çağatay Başarir & Yasin Nuri Çakir, 2015. "Causal Interactions Between CO2 Emissions, Financial Development, Energy and Tourism," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(11), pages 1227-1238.
    27. Lingaraj MALLICK & Ummalla MALLESH & Jaganath BEHERA, 2016. "Does tourism affect economic growth in Indian states? Evidence from panel ARDL model," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(606), S), pages 183-194, Spring.
    28. Levin, Andrew & Lin, Chien-Fu & James Chu, Chia-Shang, 2002. "Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 1-24, May.
    29. Mohsin S. Khan & Abdelhak S. Senhadji, 2003. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: A Review and New Evidence," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 12(Supplemen), pages 89-110, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tii N. Nchofoung & Simplice A. Asongu & Vanessa S. Tchamyou, 2022. "Tourism, ICT and inclusive development: global evidence," Working Papers 22/037, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    2. Naqib Ullah Khan & Wajid Alim & Abida Begum & Heesup Han & Abdullah Mohamed, 2022. "Examining Factors That Influence the International Tourism in Pakistan and Its Nexus with Economic Growth: Evidence from ARDL Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-15, August.
    3. Oluwatosin Adeniyi & Terver T Kumeka & Samuel Orekoya & Wasiu Adekunle, 2023. "Impact of tourism development on inclusive growth: A panel vector autoregression analysis for African economies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 612-642, May.
    4. Xueru Pang & Yuquan Zhou & Yiting Zhu & Chunshan Zhou, 2023. "Exploring the Coordination and Spatial–Temporal Characteristics of the Tourism–Economy–Environment Development in the Pearl River Delta Urban Agglomeration, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-24, January.
    5. Batara Surya & Hernita Hernita & Agus Salim & Seri Suriani & Iwan Perwira & Yulia Yulia & Muhlis Ruslan & Kafrawi Yunus, 2022. "Travel-Business Stagnation and SME Business Turbulence in the Tourism Sector in the Era of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-37, February.
    6. Mohd Azhar & Rehan Husain & Sheeba Hamid & Mohd Nayyer Rahman, 2023. "Effect of social media marketing on online travel purchase behavior post-COVID-19: mediating role of brand trust and brand loyalty," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-13, December.
    7. Uktam Umurzakov & Shakhnoza Tosheva & Raufhon Salahodjaev, 2023. "Tourism and Sustainable Economic Development: Evidence from Belt and Road Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(1), pages 503-516, March.
    8. Changjun Zheng & Sinamenye Jean-Petit, 2023. "The Effects of the Interactions Between Agro-Production, Economic, and Financial Development on Bank Sustainability," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, June.
    9. Bano, Sadia & Liu, Lu & Khan, Anwar, 2022. "Dynamic influence of aging, industrial innovations, and ICT on tourism development and renewable energy consumption in BRICS economies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 431-442.
    10. Iwona Bak & Agnieszka Brelik, 2022. "Use of Tourism Intensity Indicators for Delimitation in European Union Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 273-283.
    11. Ahmad Roumiani & Abdul Basir Arian & Hamide Mahmoodi & Hamid Shayan, 2023. "Estimation and prediction of ecological footprint using tourism development indices top tourist destination countries," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(2), pages 1084-1100, April.
    12. Muhammad Amin Hasan & Mr. Abdullah & Muhammad Arsalan Hashmi & Ali Sajid, 2022. "International Remittances and International Tourism Development in South Asia: The Moderating Role of Political Stability," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(3), pages 177-187.
    13. Liton Chandra Voumik & Shohel Md. Nafi & Festus Victor Bekun & Murat Ismet Haseki, 2023. "Modeling Energy, Education, Trade, and Tourism-Induced Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) Hypothesis: Evidence from the Middle East," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-18, March.
    14. Md. Hasanur Rahman & Liton Chandra Voumik & Md. Jamsedul Islam & Md. Abdul Halim & Miguel Angel Esquivias, 2022. "Economic Growth, Energy Mix, and Tourism-Induced EKC Hypothesis: Evidence from Top Ten Tourist Destinations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-16, December.
    15. Fernando Sánchez López, 2022. "Measuring the Effect of the Misery Index on International Tourist Departures: Empirical Evidence from Mexico," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-16, April.
    16. Mohd Azhar & Ruksar Ali & Sheeba Hamid & Mohd Junaid Akhtar & Mohd Nayyer Rahman, 2022. "Demystifying the effect of social media eWOM on revisit intention post-COVID-19: an extension of theory of planned behavior," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-16, December.
    17. Destek, Mehmet Akif & Aydın, Sercan, 2021. "An Empirical Note on Tourism and Sustainable Development Nexus," MPRA Paper 114219, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Yingying Hu, 2022. "Where Have Carbon Emissions Gone? Evidence of Inbound Tourism in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-20, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ceyhun Can OZCAN & Murat ASLAN & Saban NAZLIOGLU, 2017. "Economic freedom, economic growth and international tourism for post-communist (transition) countries: A panel causality analysis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(611), S), pages 75-98, Summer.
    2. Aistov, Andrey & Nikolaeva, Tatiana, 2019. "Tourism-led growth hypothesis," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 56, pages 5-24.
    3. Samargandi, Nahla & Fidrmuc, Jan & Ghosh, Sugata, 2015. "Is the Relationship Between Financial Development and Economic Growth Monotonic? Evidence from a Sample of Middle-Income Countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 66-81.
    4. Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel & Driha, Oana M. & Sinha, Avik, 2020. "The dynamic effects of globalization process in analysing N-shaped tourism led growth hypothesis," MPRA Paper 100078, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Dragouni, Mina & Filis, George, 2015. "How strong is the linkage between tourism and economic growth in Europe?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 142-155.
    6. Ronald Kumar, 2014. "Exploring the role of technology, tourism and financial development: an empirical study of Vietnam," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 48(5), pages 2881-2898, September.
    7. Rajesh Sharma & Samaresh Bardhan, 2017. "Finance growth nexus across Indian states: evidences from panel cointegration and causality tests," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 50(1), pages 1-20, February.
    8. Muthana Mohammad Omoush, 2018. "Time Series Analysis among Tourism, Financial Development, FDI and Economic Growth in Jordan," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(12), pages 150-150, December.
    9. Nikeel Kumar & Ronald Ravinesh Kumar, 2020. "Relationship between ICT and international tourism demand: A study of major tourist destinations," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(6), pages 908-925, September.
    10. Cândida Ferreira, 2021. "Panel Granger Causality Between Financial Development and Economic Growth," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 27(4), pages 333-335, November.
    11. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Dragouni, Mina & Eeckels, Bruno & Filis, George, 2016. "Tourism and economic growth: Does democracy matter?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 258-264.
    12. Irfan Ullah Munir & Shen Yue & Abdelmohsen A. Nassani & Muhammad Moinuddin Qazi Abro & Shabir Hyder & Khalid Zaman, 2021. "Structural changes, financial and business regulatory measures, energy and tourism demand: Evidence from group of seven countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2198-2218, April.
    13. Abdulkarim K. Alhowaish, 2016. "Is Tourism Development a Sustainable Economic Growth Strategy in the Long Run? Evidence from GCC Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-10, June.
    14. Antonakakis, Nikos & Dragouni, Mina & Eeckels, Bruno & Filis, George, 2015. "Tourism and economic growth revisited: Empirical evidence from a Panel VAR approach," MPRA Paper 67419, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. E. M. Ekanayake & Aubrey E. Long, 2012. "Tourism Development And Economic Growth In Developing Countries," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 6(1), pages 51-63.
    16. Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh & Stauvermann, Peter Josef & Loganathan, Nanthakumar & Kumar, Radika Devi, 2015. "Exploring the role of energy, trade and financial development in explaining economic growth in South Africa: A revisit," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1300-1311.
    17. Olufemi Adewale Aluko & Olufemi Patrick Adeyeye & Patrick Olajide Oladele, 2020. "Finance–growth nexus in sub-Saharan Africa revisited: evidence based on a new composite index," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 333-355, May.
    18. Mina Dragouni & George Filis & Nikolaos Antonakakis, 2013. "Time-Varying Interdependencies of Tourism and Economic Growth: Evidence from European Countries," FIW Working Paper series 128, FIW.
    19. Donou-Adonsou, Ficawoyi & Sylwester, Kevin, 2017. "Growth effect of banks and microfinance: Evidence from developing countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 44-56.
    20. Angeliki N. Menegaki, 2019. "The ARDL Method in the Energy-Growth Nexus Field; Best Implementation Strategies," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-16, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; Inbound tourism; Financial development; Cointegration; Panel granger causality; BRICS;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • L80 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - General
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:futbus:v:7:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1186_s43093-020-00048-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.