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The effects of domestic and international news and volatility on integration of Chinese stock markets with international stock markets

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  • Mehmet Fatih Öztek

    (Yıldırım Beyazıt University)

  • Nadir Öcal

    (Middle East Technical University)

Abstract

This paper provides a comprehensive and up-to-date analysis of time-varying return co-movements between Chinese stock markets and stock markets in the USA, UK, France and Japan by employing smooth transition conditional correlation (STCC-GARCH) and double smooth transition conditional correlation (DSTCC-GARCH) models with specific emphasis on the role of domestic and international news and volatility. Unlike earlier literature, we reveal that there are noticeable rising trends in conditional correlations among these markets particularly following the financial reforms in China. Moreover, the empirical results of DSTCC-GARCH specifications with time and various volatility measures generally indicate that the correlations increase, not only over time but also during calm periods, suggesting that Chinese stock markets may be safe harbors during global financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Mehmet Fatih Öztek & Nadir Öcal, 2016. "The effects of domestic and international news and volatility on integration of Chinese stock markets with international stock markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 317-360, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:50:y:2016:i:2:d:10.1007_s00181-015-0943-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-015-0943-x
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    Cited by:

    1. Jian Ni & Yue Xu, 2023. "Forecasting the Dynamic Correlation of Stock Indices Based on Deep Learning Method," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 35-55, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multivariate GARCH; Smooth transition conditional correlation; Stock markets integration; International portfolio diversification;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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