IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v162y2020i4d10.1007_s10584-020-02767-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

MRV framework and prospective scenarios to monitor and ratchet up Brazilian transport mitigation targets

Author

Listed:
  • George Vasconcelos Goes

    (Federal University of Rio de Janeiro COPPE/UFRJ)

  • Daniel Neves Schmitz Gonçalves

    (Federal University of Rio de Janeiro COPPE/UFRJ)

  • Márcio Almeida D’Agosto

    (Federal University of Rio de Janeiro COPPE/UFRJ)

  • Emilio Lèbre Rovere

    (Federal University of Rio de Janeiro COPPE/UFRJ)

  • Renata Albergaria Mello Bandeira

    (Military Institute of Engineering)

Abstract

Transitioning from a carbon-intensive development path to a low-carbon economy requires understanding of emission sources and its drivers. To achieve Nationally Determined Contribution targets discussed under the Paris Agreement, countries must project emission baselines considering different levels of ambition and sectoral performances and monitor government policies and mitigation actions. This study develops a Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification (MRV) framework based on energy use and carbon emission scenarios for Brazil up to 2030, focusing on transport. Three scenarios are developed based on different political commitments. All scenarios and mitigation actions are discussed under the Brazilian Forum on Climate Change, which is recognized as one of the most important institutional instruments of the National Policy on Climate Change. Results reveal a 41% abatement in CO2e emissions when comparing the most ambitious scenario to the conservative one. MRV framework indicates that Brazil is on track to a low carbon economic transition, although joint action is needed. This is mainly due to the increasing penetration of bioenergy into the transport energy matrix, while electromobility does not expand in Brazil at the pace of major international players such as Europe and China. Special contribution of this paper is on the role of bioenergy in prospective carbon emission scenarios, which is a lack in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • George Vasconcelos Goes & Daniel Neves Schmitz Gonçalves & Márcio Almeida D’Agosto & Emilio Lèbre Rovere & Renata Albergaria Mello Bandeira, 2020. "MRV framework and prospective scenarios to monitor and ratchet up Brazilian transport mitigation targets," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(4), pages 2197-2217, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:162:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s10584-020-02767-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02767-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-020-02767-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-020-02767-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nong, Duy & Siriwardana, Mahinda, 2018. "Effects on the U.S. economy of its proposed withdrawal from the Paris Agreement: A quantitative assessment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 621-629.
    2. Kerstin Robertson & Annika Jägerbrand & Jan R. Eriksson, 2015. "Regional Transport Indicators Used in Sweden for Measurement, Reporting and Verification of CO 2 Emissions," Challenges, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-16, April.
    3. Giacomo Grassi & Jo House & Frank Dentener & Sandro Federici & Michel den Elzen & Jim Penman, 2017. "The key role of forests in meeting climate targets requires science for credible mitigation," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(3), pages 220-226, March.
    4. Schmitz Gonçalves, Daniel Neves & Goes, George Vasconcelos & de Almeida D'Agosto, Márcio & Albergaria de Mello Bandeira, Renata, 2019. "Energy use and emissions scenarios for transport to gauge progress toward national commitments," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    5. Jane Ellis & Sara Moarif, 2015. "Identifying and addressing gaps in the UNFCCC reporting framework," OECD/IEA Climate Change Expert Group Papers 2015/7, OECD Publishing.
    6. Seungbae Sim & Jisoo Oh & Bongju Jeong, 2015. "Measuring greenhouse gas emissions for the transportation sector in Korea," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 230(1), pages 129-151, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Grottera, Carolina & Naspolini, Giovanna Ferrazzo & La Rovere, Emilio Lèbre & Schmitz Gonçalves, Daniel Neves & Nogueira, Tainan de Farias & Hebeda, Otto & Dubeux, Carolina Burle Schmidt & Goes, Georg, 2022. "Energy policy implications of carbon pricing scenarios for the Brazilian NDC implementation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    2. William Wills & Emilio Lebre La Rovere & Carolina Grottera & Giovanna Ferrazzo Naspolini & Gaëlle Le Treut & F. Ghersi & Julien Lefèvre & Carolina Burle Schmidt Dubeux, 2022. "Economic and social effectiveness of carbon pricing schemes to meet Brazilian NDC targets," Post-Print hal-03500923, HAL.
    3. Carolina Grottera & Giovanna Ferrazzo Naspolini & Emilio Lèbre La Rovere & Daniel Neves Schmitz Gonçalves & Tainan de Farias Nogueira & Otto Hebeda & Carolina Burle Schmidt Dubeux & George Vasconcelos, 2022. "Energy policy implications of carbon pricing scenarios for the Brazilian NDC implementation," Post-Print hal-03791419, HAL.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rong Li & Brent Sohngen & Xiaohui Tian, 2022. "Efficiency of forest carbon policies at intensive and extensive margins," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 104(4), pages 1243-1267, August.
    2. Jung, Suhyun & Hajjar, Reem, 2023. "The livelihood impacts of transnational aid for climate change mitigation: Evidence from Ghana," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    3. Kooten, G. Cornelis Van, 2022. "The Impact of Carbon on Optimal Forest Rotation Ages: An Application to Coastal Forests in British Columbia," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322612, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Whether crude oil dependence and CO2 emissions influence military expenditure in net oil importing countries?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    5. Daniel Neves Schmitz Gonçalves & Renata Albergaria de Mello Bandeira & Mariane Gonzalez da Costa & George Vasconcelos Goes & Tássia Faria de Assis & Márcio de Almeida D’Agosto & Isabela Rocha Pombo Le, 2020. "A Multitier Approach to Estimating the Energy Efficiency of Urban Passenger Mobility," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-18, December.
    6. Said, Fathin Faizah & Babatunde, Kazeem Alasinrin & Md Nor, Nor Ghani & Mahmoud, Moamin A. & Begum, Rawshan Ara, 2022. "Decarbonizing the Global Electricity Sector through Demand-Side Management: A Systematic Critical Review of Policy Responses," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 56(1), pages 71-91.
    7. Shinbrot, Xoco A. & Holmes, Ignacia & Gauthier, Madeleine & Tschakert, Petra & Wilkins, Zoë & Baragón, Lydia & Opúa, Berta & Potvin, Catherine, 2022. "Natural and financial impacts of payments for forest carbon offset: A 14 year-long case study in an indigenous community in Panama," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    8. Daigneault, Adam J. & Sohngen, Brent L. & Sedjo, Roger, 2020. "Carbon and market effects of U.S. forest taxation policy," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    9. Michel G. J. Elzen & Ioannis Dafnomilis & Nicklas Forsell & Panagiotis Fragkos & Kostas Fragkiadakis & Niklas Höhne & Takeshi Kuramochi & Leonardo Nascimento & Mark Roelfsema & Heleen Soest & Frank Sp, 2022. "Updated nationally determined contributions collectively raise ambition levels but need strengthening further to keep Paris goals within reach," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(5), pages 1-29, June.
    10. Suchocka, Marzena & Heciak, Jakub & Błaszczyk, Magdalena & Adamczyk, Joanna & Gaworski, Marek & Gawłowska, Agnieszka & Mojski, Jacek & Kalaji, Hazem M. & Kais, Karolina & Kosno-Jończy, Joanna & Hec, 2023. "Comparison of Ecosystem Services and Replacement Value calculations performed for urban trees," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    11. Nong, Duy, 2018. "General equilibrium economy-wide impacts of the increased energy taxes in Vietnam," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 471-481.
    12. Raouf Boucekkine & Carmen Camacho & Weihua Ruan & Benteng Zou, 2022. "Why and when coalitions split? An alternative analytical approach with an application to environmental agreements," Working Papers halshs-03676670, HAL.
    13. Alessi, Lucia & Elisa, Ossola & Panzica, Roberto, 2021. "When do investors go green? Evidence from a time-varying asset-pricing model," Working Papers 2021-13, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    14. Mario Larch & Joschka Wanner, 2019. "The Consequences of Unilateral Withdrawals from the Paris Agreement," CESifo Working Paper Series 7804, CESifo.
    15. Hongge Zhu & Yingli Cai & Hong Lin & Yuchen Tian, 2022. "Impacts of Cross-Sectoral Climate Policy on Forest Carbon Sinks and Their Spatial Spillover: Evidence from Chinese Provincial Panel Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-21, November.
    16. Chloe Margaret Papier & Helen Mills Poulos & Alejandro Kusch, 2019. "Invasive species and carbon flux: the case of invasive beavers (Castor canadensis) in riparian Nothofagus forests of Tierra del Fuego, Chile," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 153(1), pages 219-234, March.
    17. Emily McGlynn & Serena Li & Michael Berger & Meredith Amend & Kandice Harper, 2022. "Addressing uncertainty and bias in land use, land use change, and forestry greenhouse gas inventories," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 170(1), pages 1-25, January.
    18. Masato Kawanishi & Junko Morizane & Nela Anjani Lubis & Ryo Fujikura, 2020. "Issue interpretations and implementation analysis for the national greenhouse gas inventory: the case of Indonesia," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 10(4), pages 411-425, December.
    19. Raouf Boucekkine & Carmen Camacho & Weihua Ruan & Benteng Zou, 2022. "Optimal coalition splitting with heterogenous strategies," Working Papers halshs-03770401, HAL.
    20. Yunfeng Shang & Yuanjie Pu & Yiting Yu & Nan Gao & Yun Lu, 2023. "Role of the e-exhibition industry in the green growth of businesses and recovery," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 2003-2020, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:162:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s10584-020-02767-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.