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Geo-cultural Time: Advancing Human Societal Complexity Within Worldwide Constraint Bottlenecks—A Chronological/Helical Approach to Understanding Human–Planetary Interactions

Author

Listed:
  • Joel D. Gunn

    (University of North Carolina at Greensboro)

  • John W. Day

    (Louisiana State University)

  • William J. Folan

    (Universidad Autonoma de Campeche)

  • Matthew Moerschbaecher

    (Louisiana State University)

Abstract

The integration of feedbacks between Holocene planetary history and human development benefits from a change in perspective that focusses on socio-historical periods of stability separated by global-scale events, which we call foundational transitions or bottlenecks. Transitions are caused by social and/or astronomical and biogeophysical events such as volcanoes, changes in solar emissions, climate change such as sea-level/ice volume conditions, biogeochemical and ecological changes, and major social and technical innovations. We present a global-scale cultural chronology that accounts for major changes generated by such events in the late Pleistocene and Holocene. These changes are governed by transitions that make energy more or less available to human groups. The chronology is followed by methodologies to incorporate the innate, Malthusian–Darwinian human tendency to grow systems over time into a helical-feedback equation that provides for testing the hypothesis. A proof of concept test of these ideas using information system-based data from the Maya lowlands in conjunction with other civilizations suggests a troubled transition for the current worldwide economic system because of potentially catastrophic climate impacts and resource constraints on biogeophysical-social resilience in the face of obvious needs of the system to change to a more sustainable mode of acquiring energy. The Maya case implies that change is more likely to transpire because of planetary-scale disturbances/constraints in the Earth (human and planetary) system and will likely lead to strong social disruptions. There may be as many as 200 such case studies to test this idea worldwide. Our analysis suggests that a transition toward sustainability for the current energy dense globalized industrial society will be very difficult.

Suggested Citation

  • Joel D. Gunn & John W. Day & William J. Folan & Matthew Moerschbaecher, 2019. "Geo-cultural Time: Advancing Human Societal Complexity Within Worldwide Constraint Bottlenecks—A Chronological/Helical Approach to Understanding Human–Planetary Interactions," Biophysical Economics and Resource Quality, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 1-19, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:bioerq:v:4:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s41247-019-0058-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s41247-019-0058-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Matthew Toohey & Kirstin Krüger & Michael Sigl & Frode Stordal & Henrik Svensen, 2016. "Climatic and societal impacts of a volcanic double event at the dawn of the Middle Ages," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 136(3), pages 401-412, June.
    2. Florian Fizaine Fizaine & Victor Court, 2016. "Energy expenditure,economicgrowth,andtheminimumEROI of society," Post-Print hal-01410625, HAL.
    3. Richard Heinberg & Timothy Crownshaw, 2018. "Energy Decline and Authoritarianism," Biophysical Economics and Resource Quality, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 1-11, September.
    4. John W. Day & Christopher F. D’Elia & Adrian R. H. Wiegman & Jeffrey S. Rutherford & Charles A. S. Hall & Robert R. Lane & David E. Dismukes, 2018. "The Energy Pillars of Society: Perverse Interactions of Human Resource Use, the Economy, and Environmental Degradation," Biophysical Economics and Resource Quality, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-16, March.
    5. Fizaine, Florian & Court, Victor, 2016. "Energy expenditure, economic growth, and the minimum EROI of society," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 172-186.
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    Cited by:

    1. Melgar-Melgar, Rigo E. & Hall, Charles A.S., 2020. "Why ecological economics needs to return to its roots: The biophysical foundation of socio-economic systems," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).

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