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Economic impact assessment of alternative European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) options with the application of the GMR-Turkey model

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  • Attila Varga

    (University of Pécs
    University of Pécs)

  • Mete Basar Baypinar

    (University of Pécs
    Istanbul Technical University)

Abstract

This paper applies the GMR-Turkey policy impact model to estimate the likely regional effects of a selected set of policies suggested in the European Neighborhood Policy literature. We grouped the policy suggestions into two alternative sets of measures, which became the bases of two alternative scenarios of regional economic development, the Conservative scenario and the Technology- and innovation-based development scenario. Our results suggest that a persistent and systematic long-term regional technology development-based economic policy which applies measures such as investment, education and R&D support, promotion of better connectedness to EU research networks and increased physical accessibility to developed markets could in the longer run result in higher levels of regional and national production together with decreasing interregional differences than a scenario supporting the expansion of traditional industries in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Attila Varga & Mete Basar Baypinar, 2016. "Economic impact assessment of alternative European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) options with the application of the GMR-Turkey model," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(1), pages 153-176, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:anresc:v:56:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s00168-015-0725-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s00168-015-0725-6
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    Cited by:

    1. Varga, Attila & Sebestyén, Tamás & Szabó, Norbert, 2021. "Az intelligens szakosodási politika gazdasági hatásainak modellezése [Economic impact assessment of smart specialization policy]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 901-929.
    2. Norbert Szabó & Richárd Farkas & Attila Varga, 2021. "The economic effects of passenger transport infrastructure investments in lagging regions. Would the increase in commuting be beneficial for regional development?," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(4), pages 2099-2123, December.
    3. Attila Varga, 2014. "Challenges in modeling the impacts of modern development policies: The case of the GMR-approach," EcoMod2014 7151, EcoMod.
    4. Varga, Attila, 2020. "A tudástermelési függvénytől a fejlesztéspolitikai hatáselemzésig [From the knowledge production function to development policy-impact modelling]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 537-556.
    5. Attila Varga & Norbert Szabó & Tamás Sebestyén, 2020. "Economic impact modelling of smart specialization policy: Which industries should prioritization target?," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 99(5), pages 1367-1388, October.
    6. Szerb, László & Varga, Attila & Sebestyén, Tamás & Szabó, Norbert, 2019. "A vállalkozás szerepe a gazdasági növekedésben Magyarországon [The role of entrepreneurship in Hungarys economic growth]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 607-634.
    7. Jordi López-Tamayo & Raul Ramos & Jordi Suriñach i Caralt, 2018. "Economic performance, social progress and institutional reform in European neighbouring countries," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 60(3), pages 613-636, May.
    8. Edward M. Bergman & Attila Varga, 2018. "Innovative potential for development of Europe’s neighbouring countries and regions," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 60(3), pages 443-449, May.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O31 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
    • H41 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Public Goods
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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