IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/annopr/v283y2019i1d10.1007_s10479-017-2528-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predictive police patrolling to target hotspots and cover response demand

Author

Listed:
  • Johanna Leigh

    (Loughborough University)

  • Sarah Dunnett

    (Loughborough University)

  • Lisa Jackson

    (Loughborough University)

Abstract

Police forces are constantly competing to provide adequate service whilst faced with major funding cuts. The funding cuts result in limited resources hence methods of improving resource efficiency are vital to public safety. One area where improving the efficiency could drastically improve service is the planning of patrol routes for incident response officers. Current methods of patrolling lack direction and do not consider response demand. Police patrols have the potential to deter crime when directed to the right areas. Patrols also have the ability to position officers with access to high demand areas by pre-empting where response demand will arise. The algorithm developed in this work directs patrol routes in real-time by targeting high crime areas whilst maximising demand coverage. Methods used include kernel density estimation for hotspot identification and maximum coverage location problems for positioning. These methods result in more effective daily patrolling which reduces response times and accurately targets problem areas. Though applied in this instance to daily patrol operations, the methodology could help to reduce the need for disaster relief operations whilst also positioning proactively to allow quick response when disaster relief operations are required.

Suggested Citation

  • Johanna Leigh & Sarah Dunnett & Lisa Jackson, 2019. "Predictive police patrolling to target hotspots and cover response demand," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 283(1), pages 395-410, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:283:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-017-2528-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-017-2528-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10479-017-2528-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10479-017-2528-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mark S. Daskin & Edmund H. Stern, 1981. "A Hierarchical Objective Set Covering Model for Emergency Medical Service Vehicle Deployment," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 15(2), pages 137-152, May.
    2. Kevin Curtin & Karen Hayslett-McCall & Fang Qiu, 2010. "Determining Optimal Police Patrol Areas with Maximal Covering and Backup Covering Location Models," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 125-145, March.
    3. Shirley (Rong) Li & Burcu B Keskin, 2014. "Bi-criteria dynamic location-routing problem for patrol coverage," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 65(11), pages 1711-1725, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Thyago Celso Cavalcante Nepomuceno & Katarina Tatiana Marques Santiago & Cinzia Daraio & Ana Paula Cabral Seixas Costa, 2022. "Exogenous crimes and the assessment of public safety efficiency and effectiveness," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 316(2), pages 1349-1382, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Karatas, Mumtaz & Yakıcı, Ertan, 2019. "An analysis of p-median location problem: Effects of backup service level and demand assignment policy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 272(1), pages 207-218.
    2. Tammy Drezner & Zvi Drezner, 2019. "Cooperative Cover of Uniform Demand," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 819-831, September.
    3. Alan T. Murray, 2016. "Maximal Coverage Location Problem," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 39(1), pages 5-27, January.
    4. Li, Xin & Pan, Yanchun & Jiang, Shiqiang & Huang, Qiang & Chen, Zhimin & Zhang, Mingxia & Zhang, Zuoyao, 2021. "Locate vaccination stations considering travel distance, operational cost, and work schedule," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    5. P. Daniel Wright & Matthew J. Liberatore & Robert L. Nydick, 2006. "A Survey of Operations Research Models and Applications in Homeland Security," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 36(6), pages 514-529, December.
    6. V Marianov & T B Boffey & R D Galvão, 2009. "Optimal location of multi-server congestible facilities operating as M/E r /m/N queues," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(5), pages 674-684, May.
    7. Maximilian Schiffer & Michael Schneider & Grit Walther & Gilbert Laporte, 2019. "Vehicle Routing and Location Routing with Intermediate Stops: A Review," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(2), pages 319-343, March.
    8. Su, Qiang & Luo, Qinyi & Huang, Samuel H., 2015. "Cost-effective analyses for emergency medical services deployment: A case study in Shanghai," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 112-123.
    9. Sondes Hammami & Aida Jebali, 2021. "Designing modular capacitated emergency medical service using information on ambulance trip," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 1723-1742, September.
    10. Dimopoulou, Maria & Giannikos, Ioannis, 2004. "Towards an integrated framework for forest fire control," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 476-486, January.
    11. Hu, Xiaoxuan & Zhu, Waiming & Ma, Huawei & An, Bo & Zhi, Yanling & Wu, Yi, 2021. "Orientational variable-length strip covering problem: A branch-and-price-based algorithm," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(1), pages 254-269.
    12. Jaller, Miguel & Pahwa, Anmol, 2023. "Coping with the Rise of E-commerce Generated Home Deliveries through Innovative Last-mile Technologies and Strategies," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt5t76x0kh, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    13. Arlen Guarín & Andrés Ramírez Hassan & Juan G. Villegas, 2015. "Fast reaction police units in Medellín: A budget-constrained maximal homicide covering location approach," Borradores de Economia 908, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    14. Boffey, Brian & Galvao, Roberto & Espejo, Luis, 2007. "A review of congestion models in the location of facilities with immobile servers," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 178(3), pages 643-662, May.
    15. Wajid, Shayesta & Nezamuddin, N., 2023. "Capturing delays in response of emergency services in Delhi," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(PA).
    16. Suriyaphong Nilsang & Chumpol Yuangyai & Chen-Yang Cheng & Udom Janjarassuk, 2019. "Locating an ambulance base by using social media: a case study in Bangkok," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 283(1), pages 497-516, December.
    17. Carvalho, A.S. & Captivo, M.E. & Marques, I., 2020. "Integrating the ambulance dispatching and relocation problems to maximize system’s preparedness," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 283(3), pages 1064-1080.
    18. Shariat-Mohaymany, Afshin & Babaei, Mohsen & Moadi, Saeed & Amiripour, Sayyed Mahdi, 2012. "Linear upper-bound unavailability set covering models for locating ambulances: Application to Tehran rural roads," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 263-272.
    19. Nicole Adler & Alfred Hakkert & Jonathan Kornbluth & Tal Raviv & Mali Sher, 2014. "Location-allocation models for traffic police patrol vehicles on an interurban network," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 221(1), pages 9-31, October.
    20. Yaw Asiedu & Mark Rempel, 2011. "A multiobjective coverage‐based model for Civilian search and rescue," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 58(3), pages 167-179, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:283:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-017-2528-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.