IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/annopr/v248y2017i1d10.1007_s10479-016-2251-z.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Minimizing value-at-risk in single-machine scheduling

Author

Listed:
  • Semih Atakan

    (Sabancı University)

  • Kerem Bülbül

    (Sabancı University)

  • Nilay Noyan

    (Sabancı University)

Abstract

The vast majority of the machine scheduling literature focuses on deterministic problems in which all data is known with certainty a priori. In practice, this assumption implies that the random parameters in the problem are represented by their point estimates in the scheduling model. The resulting schedules may perform well if the variability in the problem parameters is low. However, as variability increases accounting for this randomness explicitly in the model becomes crucial in order to counteract the ill effects of the variability on the system performance. In this paper, we consider single-machine scheduling problems in the presence of uncertain parameters. We impose a probabilistic constraint on the random performance measure of interest, such as the total weighted completion time or the total weighted tardiness, and introduce a generic risk-averse stochastic programming model. In particular, the objective of the proposed model is to find a non-preemptive static job processing sequence that minimizes the value-at-risk (VaR) of the random performance measure at a specified confidence level. We propose a Lagrangian relaxation-based scenario decomposition method to obtain lower bounds on the optimal VaR and provide a stabilized cut generation algorithm to solve the Lagrangian dual problem. Furthermore, we identify promising schedules for the original problem by a simple primal heuristic. An extensive computational study on two selected performance measures is presented to demonstrate the value of the proposed model and the effectiveness of our solution method.

Suggested Citation

  • Semih Atakan & Kerem Bülbül & Nilay Noyan, 2017. "Minimizing value-at-risk in single-machine scheduling," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 248(1), pages 25-73, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:248:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-016-2251-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-016-2251-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10479-016-2251-z
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10479-016-2251-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ibragimov, Rustam & Walden, Johan, 2007. "The limits of diversification when losses may be large," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 2551-2569, August.
    2. Michael Pinedo & Marcos Singer, 1999. "A shifting bottleneck heuristic for minimizing the total weighted tardiness in a job shop," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(1), pages 1-17, February.
    3. Casper G. de Vries & Gennady Samorodnitsky & Bjørn N. Jorgensen & Sarma Mandira & Jon Danielsson, 2005. "Subadditivity Re–Examined: the Case for Value-at-Risk," FMG Discussion Papers dp549, Financial Markets Group.
    4. Gutjahr, W. J. & Hellmayr, A. & Pflug, G. Ch., 1999. "Optimal stochastic single-machine-tardiness scheduling by stochastic branch-and-bound," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 117(2), pages 396-413, September.
    5. Jianzhong Du & Joseph Y.-T. Leung, 1990. "Minimizing Total Tardiness on One Machine is NP-Hard," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 15(3), pages 483-495, August.
    6. R. T. Rockafellar & Roger J.-B. Wets, 1991. "Scenarios and Policy Aggregation in Optimization Under Uncertainty," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 16(1), pages 119-147, February.
    7. Yamai, Yasuhiro & Yoshiba, Toshinao, 2002. "Comparative Analyses of Expected Shortfall and Value-at-Risk: Their Estimation Error, Decomposition, and Optimization," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 20(1), pages 87-121, January.
    8. Jian Yang & Gang Yu, 2002. "On the Robust Single Machine Scheduling Problem," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 17-33, March.
    9. R. E. Marsten & W. W. Hogan & J. W. Blankenship, 1975. "The B oxstep Method for Large-Scale Optimization," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 23(3), pages 389-405, June.
    10. Rama Cont & Romain Deguest & Giacomo Scandolo, 2010. "Robustness and sensitivity analysis of risk measurement procedures," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 593-606.
    11. Yamai, Yasuhiro & Yoshiba, Toshinao, 2002. "Comparative Analyses of Expected Shortfall and Value-at-Risk (3): Their Validity under Market Stress," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 20(3), pages 181-237, October.
    12. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean‐Marc Eber & David Heath, 1999. "Coherent Measures of Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 203-228, July.
    13. Antonio Frangioni, 2005. "About Lagrangian Methods in Integer Optimization," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 139(1), pages 163-193, October.
    14. Willem Klein Haneveld & Maarten van der Vlerk, 1999. "Stochastic integer programming:General models and algorithms," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 85(0), pages 39-57, January.
    15. Richard L. Daniels & Panagiotis Kouvelis, 1995. "Robust Scheduling to Hedge Against Processing Time Uncertainty in Single-Stage Production," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 41(2), pages 363-376, February.
    16. Steven Kou & Xianhua Peng & Chris C. Heyde, 2013. "External Risk Measures and Basel Accords," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 38(3), pages 393-417, August.
    17. John J. Kanet & V. Sridharan, 2000. "Scheduling with Inserted Idle Time: Problem Taxonomy and Literature Review," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 48(1), pages 99-110, February.
    18. Rama Cont & Romain Deguest & Giacomo Scandolo, 2010. "Robustness and sensitivity analysis of risk measurement procedures," Post-Print hal-00413729, HAL.
    19. C. van de Panne & W. Popp, 1963. "Minimum-Cost Cattle Feed Under Probabilistic Protein Constraints," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(3), pages 405-430, April.
    20. Ibragimov, Rustam & Walden, Johan, 2007. "The limits of diversification when losses may be large," Scholarly Articles 2624460, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    21. Yamai, Yasuhiro & Yoshiba, Toshinao, 2002. "Comparative Analyses of Expected Shortfall and Value-at-Risk (2): Expected Utility Maximization and Tail Risk," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 20(2), pages 95-115, April.
    22. Danielsson, Jon & Zhou, Chen, 2015. "Why risk is so hard to measure," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 62002, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Carlo Meloni & Marco Pranzo, 2020. "Expected shortfall for the makespan in activity networks under imperfect information," Flexible Services and Manufacturing Journal, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 668-692, September.
    2. Özgün Elçi & John Hooker, 2022. "Stochastic Planning and Scheduling with Logic-Based Benders Decomposition," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 34(5), pages 2428-2442, September.
    3. Adam Kasperski & Paweł Zieliński, 2019. "Risk-averse single machine scheduling: complexity and approximation," Journal of Scheduling, Springer, vol. 22(5), pages 567-580, October.
    4. Nilay Noyan & Gábor Rudolf & Miguel Lejeune, 2022. "Distributionally Robust Optimization Under a Decision-Dependent Ambiguity Set with Applications to Machine Scheduling and Humanitarian Logistics," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 34(2), pages 729-751, March.
    5. Meloni, Carlo & Pranzo, Marco & Samà, Marcella, 2022. "Evaluation of VaR and CVaR for the makespan in interval valued blocking job shops," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    6. Tugba Saraç & Feristah Ozcelik & Mehmet Ertem, 2023. "Unrelated parallel machine scheduling problem with stochastic sequence dependent setup times," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 1-19, September.
    7. Meloni, Carlo & Pranzo, Marco & Samà, Marcella, 2021. "Risk of delay evaluation in real-time train scheduling with uncertain dwell times," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Steven Kou & Xianhua Peng, 2016. "On the Measurement of Economic Tail Risk," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(5), pages 1056-1072, October.
    2. Farkas, Walter & Fringuellotti, Fulvia & Tunaru, Radu, 2020. "A cost-benefit analysis of capital requirements adjusted for model risk," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Steven Kou & Xianhua Peng, 2014. "On the Measurement of Economic Tail Risk," Papers 1401.4787, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2015.
    4. Steven Kou & Xianhua Peng & Chris C. Heyde, 2013. "External Risk Measures and Basel Accords," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 38(3), pages 393-417, August.
    5. Andre R. Neveu, 2018. "A survey of network-based analysis and systemic risk measurement," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 13(2), pages 241-281, July.
    6. Daníelsson, Jón & Jorgensen, Bjørn N. & Samorodnitsky, Gennady & Sarma, Mandira & de Vries, Casper G., 2013. "Fat tails, VaR and subadditivity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(2), pages 283-291.
    7. Wei Jiang & Steven Kou, 2021. "Simulating risk measures via asymptotic expansions for relative errors," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 907-942, July.
    8. Yuyu Chen & Paul Embrechts & Ruodu Wang, 2022. "An unexpected stochastic dominance: Pareto distributions, dependence, and diversification," Papers 2208.08471, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    9. Alexander, Gordon J. & Baptista, Alexandre M. & Yan, Shu, 2012. "When more is less: Using multiple constraints to reduce tail risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 2693-2716.
    10. Lazar, Emese & Zhang, Ning, 2019. "Model risk of expected shortfall," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 74-93.
    11. Hans Rau-Bredow, 2019. "Bigger Is Not Always Safer: A Critical Analysis of the Subadditivity Assumption for Coherent Risk Measures," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-18, August.
    12. Yamai, Yasuhiro & Yoshiba, Toshinao, 2005. "Value-at-risk versus expected shortfall: A practical perspective," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 997-1015, April.
    13. Weiping Wu & Yu Lin & Jianjun Gao & Ke Zhou, 2023. "Mean-variance hybrid portfolio optimization with quantile-based risk measure," Papers 2303.15830, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
    14. Fissler Tobias & Ziegel Johanna F., 2021. "On the elicitability of range value at risk," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 38(1-2), pages 25-46, January.
    15. Marcelo Brutti Righi & Paulo Sergio Ceretta, 2015. "Shortfall Deviation Risk: An alternative to risk measurement," Papers 1501.02007, arXiv.org, revised May 2016.
    16. Xue Dong He & Hanqing Jin & Xun Yu Zhou, 2015. "Dynamic Portfolio Choice When Risk Is Measured by Weighted VaR," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 40(3), pages 773-796, March.
    17. Paul Embrechts & Bin Wang & Ruodu Wang, 2015. "Aggregation-robustness and model uncertainty of regulatory risk measures," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 763-790, October.
    18. Marcelo Brutti Righi & Fernanda Maria Muller & Marlon Ruoso Moresco, 2017. "On a robust risk measurement approach for capital determination errors minimization," Papers 1707.09829, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
    19. Santiago Carrillo Menéndez & Bertrand Kian Hassani, 2021. "Expected Shortfall Reliability—Added Value of Traditional Statistics and Advanced Artificial Intelligence for Market Risk Measurement Purposes," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(17), pages 1-20, September.
    20. Francesco Cesarone & Manuel L. Martino & Fabio Tardella, 2023. "Mean-Variance-VaR portfolios: MIQP formulation and performance analysis," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 45(3), pages 1043-1069, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:248:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-016-2251-z. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.