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Renewable Natural Resource Shocks and Conflict Intensity

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  • Kishore Gawande
  • Devesh Kapur
  • Shanker Satyanath

Abstract

An interesting stream of the civil conflict literature has identified an important subset of civil conflicts with disastrous consequences, that is, those that emerge as a consequence of shocks to renewable natural resources like land and water. This literature is, however, reliant on qualitative case studies when claiming a causal relationship leading from renewable resource shocks to conflict. In this article, we seek to advance the literature by drawing out the implications of a well-known formal model of the renewable resources–conflict relationship and then conducting rigorous statistical tests of its implications in the case of a serious ongoing civil conflict in India. We find that a one standard deviation decrease in our measure of renewable resources increases killings by nearly 60 percent over the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Kishore Gawande & Devesh Kapur & Shanker Satyanath, 2017. "Renewable Natural Resource Shocks and Conflict Intensity," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 61(1), pages 140-172, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:61:y:2017:i:1:p:140-172
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002714567949
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jacob N. Shapiro & Oliver Vanden Eynde, 2023. "Fiscal Incentives for Conflict: Evidence from India's Red Corridor," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(1), pages 217-225, January.
    2. Alex Dickson & Ian A MacKenzie & Petros G Sekeris, 2018. "The role of markets and preferences on resource conflicts," Working Papers 1819, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
    3. Thiemo Fetzer, 2020. "Can Workfare Programs Moderate Conflict? Evidence from India," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 18(6), pages 3337-3375.
    4. Fetzer, Thiemo, 2019. "Can Workfare Programs Moderate Conflict? Evidence from India," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1220, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    5. Marius Mehrl & Paul W. Thurner, 2020. "Military Technology and Human Loss in Intrastate Conflict: The Conditional Impact of Arms Imports," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 64(6), pages 1172-1196, July.

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