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Volatility Spillovers Across the Tasman

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  • Timothy J. Brailsford

    (Tim Brailsford, Department of Accounting and Finance, University of Melbourne, Parkville Victoria 3052, E-mail: t.brailsford@EcoAccFin.unimelb.edu.au)

Abstract

The study of volatility inter-dependence provides useful insights into how information is transmitted and disseminated across markets. Research results in this area have implications for international diversification and market efficiency. This paper explores volatility spillovers between the Australian and New Zealand stock markets. The objective of the paper is to determine if volatility surprises in one market influence the volatility of returns in the other market. The existing literature in this area has typically focused on the US market's influence and employed standard ARCH class models to account for the time-variation in volatility. This paper focuses on the trans-Tasman markets and utilises more complex models which allow for an asymmetric response of volatility to past innovations. Time-zone differences in trading hours between Australia and New Zealand are analysed and four models are developed to test for spillover effects. The overnight return (& volatility) from the US market is used to account for the impact of international news. The results indicate that volatility surprises in the larger Australian market influence the subsequent conditional volatility of the smaller New Zealand market. Similarly, the Australian market also appears to be influenced by volatility surprises from the New Zealand market. However, this latter finding is also consistent with contemporaneous market reactions to international news which the daily data set used in this study is unable to isolate.

Suggested Citation

  • Timothy J. Brailsford, 1996. "Volatility Spillovers Across the Tasman," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 21(1), pages 13-27, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:ausman:v:21:y:1996:i:1:p:13-27
    DOI: 10.1177/031289629602100104
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    2. el Alaoui, Abdelkader O. & Dewandaru, Ginanjar & Azhar Rosly, Saiful & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Linkages and co-movement between international stock market returns: Case of Dow Jones Islamic Dubai Financial Market index," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 53-70.
    3. Chester Curme & H. Eugene Stanley & Irena Vodenska, 2015. "Coupled Network Approach To Predictability Of Financial Market Returns And News Sentiments," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(07), pages 1-26, November.
    4. Brooks, Chris & Henry, Olan T., 2000. "Linear and non-linear transmission of equity return volatility: evidence from the US, Japan and Australia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 497-513, December.
    5. Sanjay Sehgal & Mala Dutt, 2016. "Domestic and international information linkages between NSE Nifty spot and futures markets: an empirical study for India," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 43(3), pages 239-258, September.
    6. Indika Karunanayake & Abbas Valadkhani & Martin O'Brien, 2010. "Financial Crises And International Stock Market Volatility Transmission," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(3), pages 209-221, September.
    7. Neda Todorova & Michael Soucek & Eduardo Roca, 2015. "Volatility spillovers from international commodity markets to the Australian equity market," Discussion Papers in Finance finance:201505, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
    8. Valadkhani, Abbas & O'Brien, Martin & Karunanayake, Indika, 2009. "Modelling Australian Stock Market Volatility: A Multivariate GARCH Approach," Economics Working Papers wp09-11, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
    9. Suhail Palakkod, 2012. "Integration of Capital, Commodity and Currency Markets: A Study on Volatility Spillover," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 15(44), pages 87-100, June.
    10. Sandoval, Leonidas, 2014. "To lag or not to lag? How to compare indices of stock markets that operate on different times," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 403(C), pages 227-243.
    11. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Kefei You, 2019. "Stock market linkages between the ASEAN countries, China and the US: a fractional cointegration approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 7537, CESifo.
    12. Güloğlu, Bülent & Kaya, Pınar & Aydemir, Resul, 2016. "Volatility transmission among Latin American stock markets under structural breaks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 330-340.

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