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Second order effects in population migration

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Author Info

  • Purica, Ionut

    ()
    (Institute for Economic Forecasting - Romanian Academy)

Abstract

Migration becomes a more and more significant process that triggers various types of complex behavior. After analyzing the process, especially with regard to the occurrence of nonlinear behavior, a model is build to include the features that may lead to the occurrence of cycles of migration reverse. The results of a simulation are showing patterns of behavior similar to the Italian case of large ex-migrations in the fifties that were reversed in mid seventies. A set of potential applications on migration from newly entrant countries in the EU to EU-15 is possible especially related to actions that may speed up the moment of migration cycle reverse.

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File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/rjef/rjef2_08/rjef2_08_8.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Institute for Economic Forecasting in its journal Romanian Journal for Economic Forecasting.

Volume (Year): 5 (2008)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 121-128

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Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:5:y:2008:i:2:p:121-128

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Related research

Keywords: nonlinear; migration; cycles; complexity;

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  1. Baumol, William J & Benhabib, Jess, 1989. "Chaos: Significance, Mechanism, and Economic Applications," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 3(1), pages 77-105, Winter.
  2. Baumol, William J & Wolff, Edward N, 1983. " Feedback from Productivity Growth to R & D," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 85(2), pages 147-57.
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