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Effect of False Confidence on Asset Allocation Decisions of Households

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  • Swarn Chatterjee

    (Associate Professor, Department of Financial Planning, Housing and Consumer Economic,University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602 United States)

Abstract

This paper investigates whether false confidence, as characterized by a high level of personal mastery and a low level of intelligence (IQ), results in frequent investor trading and subsequent investor wealth erosion across time. Using the National Longitudinal Survey (NLSY79), change in wealth and asset allocation across time is modeled as a function of various behavioral, socio-economic and demographic variables drawn from prior literature. Findings of this research reveal that false confidence is indeed a predictor oftrading activity in individual investment assets, and it also has a negative impact on individual wealth creation across time.

Suggested Citation

  • Swarn Chatterjee, 2014. "Effect of False Confidence on Asset Allocation Decisions of Households," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 3(1), pages 01-11, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:rbs:ijfbss:v:3:y:2014:i:1:p:01-11
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Swarn CHATTERJEE & John R. SALTER & Nathan HARNESS, 2012. "Annuitization Decisions Of Retirees: The Role Of Risk Aversion And Financial Advice," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 9, pages 35-52, June.
    2. Erik Hurst & Annamaria Lusardi, 2004. "Liquidity Constraints, Household Wealth, and Entrepreneurship," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 112(2), pages 319-347, April.
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    4. Peng, Lin & Xiong, Wei, 2006. "Investor attention, overconfidence and category learning," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 563-602, June.
    5. Swarnankur Chatterjee, 2013. "Borrowing Decisions of Credit Constrained Consumers and The Role of Financial Literacy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 179-191.
    6. Donald R. Haurin & Patric H. Hendershott & Susan M. Wachter, 1996. "Borrowing Constraints and the Tenure Choice of Young Households," NBER Working Papers 5630, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Brad M. Barber & Terrance Odean, 2000. "Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 773-806, April.
    8. Brad M. Barber & Terrance Odean, 2002. "Online Investors: Do the Slow Die First?," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(2), pages 455-488, March.
    9. Meir Statman & Steven Thorley & Keith Vorkink, 2006. "Investor Overconfidence and Trading Volume," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(4), pages 1531-1565.
    10. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
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