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Analysing Impact of Economic Crises on Sector Profits with a New Approach

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  • İsmail Cakmak
  • Selcen Öztürk

Abstract

The manufacturing sector has been regarded as a key factor in the history of economic devel-opment and growth. However, economic fluctuations affect manufacturing seriously. This study examines the impact of the 2008 global economic crisis on Turkish manufacturing sector profit-ability. This paper uses micro-econometric difference in differences methods in conjunction with the macroeconomic forecasting method to investigate how profit levels in the Turkish manufacturing industry are affected by the crisis. The results indicate that the profit levels changed significantly after the crisis with a one-year lag and actual profits exceeded the estimated profits in the later years. Economic impacts of crises have long been investigated; however, this paper differs from the literature in using a new analytical framework for the issue. The suggested method can be expanded to other areas, which can spark new future studies.

Suggested Citation

  • İsmail Cakmak & Selcen Öztürk, 2023. "Analysing Impact of Economic Crises on Sector Profits with a New Approach," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(3), pages 225-245.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2023:y:2023:i:3:id:827:p:225-245
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.827
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sujan Chandra Paul & Md. Asiqur Rahman & Jiasmin, 2021. "Current Assets, Current Liabilities and Profitability: A Cross Industry Analysis," Journal of Asian Business Strategy, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(1), pages 55-68, June.
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    4. Sujan Chandra Paul & Md. Asiqur Rahman & Jiasmin, 2021. "Current Assets, Current Liabilities and Profitability: A Cross Industry Analysis," Journal of Asian Business Strategy, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(1), pages 55-68.
    5. Park, Cyn-Young & Shin, Kwanho, 2020. "Contagion through National and Regional Exposures to Foreign Banks during the Global Financial Crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    forecasting; difference in differences; 2008 economic crisis; manufacturing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • L60 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - General

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