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Dynamics of emerging India's banking sector assets: A simple model

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  • Soumitra K Mallick

    (Indian Institute of Social Welfare & Business Management, Management House, College Square West)

  • Amitava Sarkar
  • Kalyan K Roy
  • Tamal Duttachaudhuri
  • Anjan Chakrabarti

Abstract

Banking sector loans are the principal source of capital for small and medium business ventures in India, comprising firms that are not large enough to be registered with stock exchanges. Non-performing assets (NPAs) are an important measure of the success of these businesses, as well as of their levels of discretion in carrying out their commercial activities conditional on their role in developing India's entrepreneurship outside the stock markets. In this article we analyze certain properties of NPAs in Indian Banks over the 1990s, when liberalization was introduced by opening up a significant portion of the public sector, allowing private banks to do business. We arrive at three conclusions for emerging India's banking sector. First, NPAs (as a ratio of loans and advances) are significantly sticky over time. Second, larger NPAs are associated with larger advances and vice-versa. Third, NPAs do not seem to have spiraled out of control over the 1990s. A simple cointegration test is carried out and a set of dynamic graphs, using notions of ‘fibration’, is presented to support the results.

Suggested Citation

  • Soumitra K Mallick & Amitava Sarkar & Kalyan K Roy & Tamal Duttachaudhuri & Anjan Chakrabarti, 2010. "Dynamics of emerging India's banking sector assets: A simple model," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 62-70, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:assmgt:v:11:y:2010:i:1:d:10.1057_jam.2010.1
    DOI: 10.1057/jam.2010.1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Graciela L. Kaminsky & Carmen M. Reinhart, 2001. "Bank Lending and Contagion: Evidence from the Asian Crisis," NBER Chapters, in: Regional and Global Capital Flows: Macroeconomic Causes and Consequences, pages 73-99, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Graciela L. Kaminsky, 1999. "The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(3), pages 473-500, June.
    3. Carmen M. Reinhart & Graciela L. Kaminsky, 1999. "The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(3), pages 473-500, June.
    4. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1981. "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 393-410, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Singh, Charan & Wasdani, Kishinchand Poornima, 2016. "Finance for Micro, Small, and Medium-Sized Enterprises in India: Sources and Challenges," ADBI Working Papers 581, Asian Development Bank Institute.

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