Développement financier, instabilité financière et croissance économique

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Développement financier, instabilité financière et croissance économique

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Sylviane GUILLAUMONT JEANNENEY (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International)
Kangni KPODAR (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International)

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Abstract

Résumé : Cet article tente de concilier deux courants de la littérature, l’un qui montre l’effet favorable du développement financier sur la croissance économique, l’autre l’effet défavorable des crises financières. L’hypothèse centrale est que l’instabilité du développement financier croît avec celui-ci. Cette relation positive entre les deux phénomènes diminue l’impact favorable du développement financier sur la croissance. Plusieurs arguments théoriques sont présentés à l’appui de cette hypothèse, qui est ensuite testée avec succès sur un vaste échantillon de pays en développement durant la période 1966-2000. Cette analyse montre qu’une politique de libéralisation financière, destinée à promouvoir le développement financier, ne doit pas se faire dans n’importe quel environnement politique et économique.

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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Macroeconomics with number 0407004.

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Length: 40 pages
Date of creation: 05 Jul 2004
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0407004

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E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

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