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Anticipated and Repeated Shocks in Liquid Markets

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  • Dong Lou
  • Hongjun Yan
  • Jinfan Zhang

Abstract

We show that Treasury security prices in the secondary market decrease significantly in the few days before Treasury auctions and recover shortly thereafter, even though the time and amount of each auction are announced in advance. These results are linked to dealers' limited risk-bearing capacity and end-investors' imperfect capital mobility, highlighting the important role of frictions even in very liquid financial markets. Our results imply a hidden issuance cost to the U.S. Department of the Treasury, estimated to be 9 to 18 bps of the auction size, or over half a billion dollars for the issuance size in 2007. The Author 2013. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com., Oxford University Press.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Society for Financial Studies in its journal The Review of Financial Studies.

Volume (Year): 26 (2013)
Issue (Month): 8 ()
Pages: 1891-1912

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Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:26:y:2013:i:8:p:1891-1912

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Cited by:
  1. Kandrac, John & Schlusche, Bernd, 2013. "Flow effects of large-scale asset purchases," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 330-335.
  2. Jennie Bai & Michael Fleming & Casidhe Horan, 2013. "The microstructure of China's government bond market," Staff Reports 622, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  3. Rogers, John H. & Scotti, Chiara & Wright, Jonathan H., 2014. "Evaluating Asset-Market Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy: A Cross-Country Comparison," International Finance Discussion Papers 1101, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  4. D'Amico, Stefania & Fan, Roger & Kitzul, Yuriy, 2013. "The Scarcity Value of Treasury Collateral: Repo Market Effects of Security-Specific Supply and Demand Factors," Working Paper Series WP-2013-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  5. Catherine L. Mann & Oren Klachkin, 2011. "U.S. Treasury Auction Yields During Boom, Bust, and Quantitative Easing: Role for Fed and Foreign Purchasers," Working Papers 47, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Businesss School, revised May 2012.

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