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Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Asymmetric?

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Author Info
RenÈ Garcia

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Abstract

By building on the Hamilton (1989) Markov switching model, we examine questions like: Does monetary policy have the same effect in expansions and recessions? Given that the economy is currently in a recession, does a fall in interest rates increase the probability of an expansion? Does monetary policy have an incremental effect on the growth rate within a given state, or does it only affect the economy if it is sufficiently strong to induce a state change (e.g., from recession to expansion)? As suggested by models with sticky prices or finance constraints, interest rate changes have larger effects during recessions. Copyright 2002, Oxford University Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Oxford University Press in its journal Economic Inquiry.

Volume (Year): 40 (2002)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 102-119
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Handle: RePEc:oup:ecinqu:v:40:y:2002:i:1:p:102-119

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Christian Melzer & Thorsten Neumann, 2005. "Changing Effects of Monetary Policy in the U.S. –Evidence from a Time-Varying Coefficient VAR," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 144, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Tuysuz, Sukriye, 2007. "The asymmetric impact of macroeconomic announcements on U.S. Government bond rate level and volatility," MPRA Paper 5381, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  3. A. Olmedo, 2002. "Asymmetries in the Central Bank Behaviour," THEMA Working Papers 2002-06, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise. [Downloadable!]
  4. Pichette, Lise, 1998. "La politique monétaire a-t-elle des effets asymétriques sur l'emploi?," Working Papers 98-17, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  5. Erdinc Telatar & Mubariz Hasanov, 2006. "The asymmetric effects of monetary shocks: the case of Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(18), pages 2199-2208, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Munehisa Kasuya, 2005. "Regime-switching approach to monetary policy effects," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 307-326, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. John Bennett & Manfredi M. A. La Manna, 2001. "Reversing the Keynesian Asymmetry," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1556-1563, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Ramón María-Dolores, 2001. "Asimetrías en los efectos de la política monetaria en España (1977-1996)," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 25(2), pages 391-415, May. [Downloadable!]
  9. W.A. Bruinshoofd & B. Candelon, 2004. "Nonlinear monetary policy in europe: fact or myth?," WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) 758, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Tiff Macklem & Alain Paquet & Louis Phaneuf, 1996. "Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from the Yield Curve," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 42, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal. [Downloadable!]
  11. Frank Smets & Gert Peersman, 2001. "Are the effects of monetary policy in the euro area greater in recessions than in booms?," Working Paper Series 052, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  12. Sustek, Roman, 2009. "Nonconvex Margins of Output Adjustment and Aggregate Fluctuations," MPRA Paper 17486, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  13. Edoardo Otranto & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2001. "A Nonparametric Bayesian Approach to Detect the Number of Regimes in Markov Switching Models," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2001_04, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica "G. Parenti". [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  14. Jan Jacobs & Jan Kakes, 2000. "Credit demand asymmetry in the Netherlands 1983-1997," MEB Series (discontinued) 2000-11, Netherlands Central Bank, Monetary and Economic Policy Department. [Downloadable!]
  15. Roman Sustek, 2005. "Plant-Level Nonconvexities and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Working Papers 2005/09, Czech National Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  16. C R Birchenhall & D R Osborn & M Sensier, 2000. "Predicting UK Business Cycle Regimes," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 02, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
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  17. Marilyne Huchet-Bourdon, 2003. "Does single monetary policy have asymmetric real effects in EMU ?," Post-Print halshs-00143785_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
  18. Gert Peersam & Frank Smets, 2002. "The industry effects of monetary policy in the Euro area," Working Paper Series 165, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  19. Fabio ALESSANDRINI, 2003. "Some Additional Evidence from the Credit Channel on the Response to Monetary Shocks: Looking for Asymmetries," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'Econométrie et d'Economie politique (DEEP) 03.04, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, DEEP. [Downloadable!]
  20. Sylvia Kaufmann, 2001. "Asymmetries in bank lending behavior: Austria during the 1990s," Working Paper Series 097, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  21. M Sensier & D R Osborn & N Öcal, 2002. "Asymmetric Interest Rate Effects for the UK Real Economy," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 10, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  22. Maximo Camacho, 2002. "Nonlinear stochastic trends and economic fluctuations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 274, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
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