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Nominal exchange rate shocks and inflation in an open economy: towards a structuralist inflation targeting agenda

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  • Eduardo F Bastian
  • Mark Setterfield

Abstract

This paper develops a model of inflation in an open economy. The model permits analysis of the susceptibility of open economies to permanent inflationary consequences arising from transitory foreign exchange shocks. Sources of structural vulnerability to such events are identified, and means of addressing these structural vulnerabilities are discussed. Ultimately, the paper arrives at a ‘structuralist inflation targeting agenda’. Based on a proper conception of inflation dynamics, this involves ‘getting inflation targeting right’ rather than either accepting mainstream inflation targeting prescriptions or simply neglecting inflation altogether.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo F Bastian & Mark Setterfield, 2020. "Nominal exchange rate shocks and inflation in an open economy: towards a structuralist inflation targeting agenda," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 44(6), pages 1271-1299.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:cambje:v:44:y:2020:i:6:p:1271-1299.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kohler, Karsten, 2019. "Exchange rate dynamics, balance sheet effects, and capital flows. A Minskyan model of emerging market boom-bust cycles," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 270-283.
    2. Hein, Eckhard & Häusler, Christoph, 2024. "Kaleckian models of conflict inflation, distribution and employment: A comparative analysis," IPE Working Papers 225/2024, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    3. Gabriel Montes-Rojas & Nicolás Bertholet, 2023. "When are devaluations more contractionary? A quantile VAR estimation for Argentina," Chapters, in: Fernando Toledo & Louis-Philippe Rochon (ed.), Monetary Policy Challenges in Latin America, chapter 8, pages 132-149, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Sébastien Charles & Eduardo Figueiredo Bastian & Jonathan Marie, 2021. "Inflation Regimes and Hyperinflation. A Post-Keynesian/Structuralist typology," Working Papers hal-03363240, HAL.
    5. Gabriel Montes-Rojas & Fernando Toledo, 2021. "Shocks Externos Y Tensiones Inflacionarias En Argentina: Una Aproximación Empírica Poskeynesiana-Estructuralista," Documentos de trabajo del Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET) 2021-64, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET).
    6. Sébastien Charles & Jonathan Marie, 2020. "A Note on the Competing Causes of High Inflation in Bulgaria during the 1990s: Money Supply or Exchange Rate?," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 433-443, July.
    7. Hein, Eckhard, 2023. "Inflation is always and everywhere … a conflict phenomenon: Post-Keynesian inflation theory and energy price driven conflict inflation," IPE Working Papers 224/2023, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    8. Montes Rojas Gabriel & Dvoskin Ariel & Feldman Germán, 2023. "Exchange-Rate Regime And Sectorial Profitability In A Small Open Economy: A Theoretical And Empirical Analysis Of Argentina (2016-2023)," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4673, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    9. Cherkasky, Martín & Abeles, Martín, 2019. "Monetary regimes and labour institutions: an alternative interpretation of the downward trend in exchange-rate passthrough in peripheral countries," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    10. Rolim, Lilian & Marins, Nathalie, 2023. "Foreign price shocks and inflation targeting: Effects on income and inflation inequality," IPE Working Papers 207/2023, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Strato-inflation; Nominal exchange rate shocks; Conflicting claims; Hysteresis; Capital controls; Industrial policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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