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Macro-Financial Link and Monetary Policy Management: Insight from the Case of Nepal

Author

Listed:
  • Nephil Matangi Maskay, Ph.D.
  • Rajendra Pandit

    (Nepal Rastra Bank)

Abstract

Increasing financial sector development and globalization have significantly changed the naturo of macro-financial link. The paper aims to obtain insight on how these changes have impacted on the effectiveness of monetary policy management, by undergoing a case study of Nepal. The empirical results over the thirty five year period spanning FY 1975 to FY 2009, find that the elasticity of the real interest rate is not economically and statistically significant in relation to the output gap. This result is further explored by examining sequentially the contributions of direct financing, domestic financial sector development and external integration. The results suggest that while their respective contribution to the elasticity of the real interest rate is now statistically significant, however it remains economically insignificant. Further the direction of effect is opposite to that of the theoretically predicted sign; this contrary result implies that the residual is driving the regression results. The results further suggest that the economic regime shift in early-1990s, had contributed to weaken the elasticity of the real interest rate. The general insight from the Nepalese case study is that countries have to re-examine on a regular basis the nature of macro-financial link to ensure optimal monetary policy management.

Suggested Citation

  • Nephil Matangi Maskay, Ph.D. & Rajendra Pandit, 2011. "Macro-Financial Link and Monetary Policy Management: Insight from the Case of Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 23(2), pages 1-17, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:nrb:journl:v:23:y:2011:i:2:p:1
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nephil Matangi Maskay, Ph.D. & Satyendra Raj Subedi, 2009. "Development of the Nepalese Financial System: Need for the Formulation of a Master Plan," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 21, pages 1-2, April.
    2. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    3. Nephil Matangi Maskay Ph.D. & Satyendra Raj Subedi, 2009. "Development of the Nepalese Financial System: Need for the Formulation of a Master Plan," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 21, pages 31-51, April.
    4. Nephil Matangi Maskay Ph.D. & Rajendra Pandit, 2010. "Interest Rate Pass-Through in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 22, pages 1-18, April.
    5. Xin Long & Mr. Mangal Goswami & Andreas Jobst, 2009. "An Investigation of Some Macro-Financial Linkages of Securitization," IMF Working Papers 2009/026, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Glenn Rudebusch & Lars E.O. Svensson, 1999. "Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting," NBER Chapters, in: Monetary Policy Rules, pages 203-262, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Nephil Matangi Maskay,Ph.D. & Rajendra Pandit, 2010. "Interest Rate Pass-Through in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 22(1), pages 1-18, April.
    8. John B. Taylor, 1999. "Monetary Policy Rules," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number tayl99-1, May.
    9. Mr. Tamim Bayoumi & Ola Melander, 2008. "Credit Matters: Empirical Evidence on U.S. Macro-Financial Linkages," IMF Working Papers 2008/169, International Monetary Fund.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macro-Financial Link; Monetary Policy Management; Nepal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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