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Coupled Dynamics in a Phillips Machine Model of the Macroeconomy

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  • Stefano Zambelli

Abstract

In this paper it is claimed that the Phillips machine, contrary to what is sometimes believed, is a nonlinear mechanism. Phillips (1950) presented his machines, as formally described, with linear differential equations. In doing so, he fell into what Samuelson came later to define as the linearity dogma. It is argued here that the Phillips machines are not linear mechanisms but are coherent with a system of nonlinear difference-differential equations. Here, this system is in turn approximated with a set of nonlinear differential equations, which are isomorphic with the Hicks-Goodwin flexible multiplier accelerator models. Consistent with this conjecture and following a Goodwin-Phillips' suggestion, we have presented a «digital» simulation of two coupled would-be Phillips machines. Whether the data generated with the set of nonlinear difference equations is consistent with the observations emerging from the actual coupled Phillips machines could be verified by comparing the data emerging from the two systems - the digital and the analogue ones.

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  • Stefano Zambelli, 2011. "Coupled Dynamics in a Phillips Machine Model of the Macroeconomy," Economia politica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 171-188.
    • Handle: RePEc:mul:jb33yl:doi:10.1428/35934:y:2011:i:1:p:171-188
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    1. Samuelson, P. A., 1974. "Remembrances of Frisch," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 7-23, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stefano Zambelli, 2015. "Dynamical coupling, the non-linear accelerator and the persistence of business cycles," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 39(6), pages 1607-1628.
    2. Katherine Moos & K. Vela Velupillai, 2014. "Stabilisation Policy -- Phillips before the `Phillips Curve'," ASSRU Discussion Papers 1402, ASSRU - Algorithmic Social Science Research Unit.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    A10; B16; B41; C63; F44;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A10 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - General
    • B16 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought through 1925 - - - Quantitative and Mathematical
    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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