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The Long-Run U.S./U.K. Real Exchange Rate Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Engel, Charles
Kim, Chang-Jin
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The paper estimates a model for the real U.S/U.K. exchange rate. The Kalman filter is used to identify a permanent and transitory component. We find the variance of the transitory component shifts among three states according to a Markov-switching process. The model is estimated by Gibbs sampling. The transitory component appears to be driven by temporary monetary phenomenon. The shifts of variance occur at times of historically significant monetary events. We find the permanent component is cointegrated with relative per capita income levels, as in the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis. The data support a model that contains a transitory component driven by monetary phenomena and a permanent component driven by relative income levels.
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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking .
Volume (Year): 31 (1999)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 335-56
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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:335-56Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879
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Keywords: Other versions of this item:
Paper Engel, C. & Kim, C.J., 1996.
"The Long-Run U.S./U.K. real Exchange Rate ,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
96-14, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
Charles Engel & Chang-Jin Kim, 1996.
"The Long-Run U.S./U.K. Real Exchange Rate ,"
NBER Working Papers
5777, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engel, C. & Kim, C.J., 1996.
"The Long-Run U.S./U.K. real Exchange Rate ,"
Working Papers
96-14, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
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"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
96-05, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
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"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
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"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
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